posted June 27, 2008 at 17:52 EST in Triple Crown Betting Trends

The Grade I Mother Goose and the Grade I Suburban are both on Belmont’s Saturday card. The Grade I Mother Goose provides small opportunity for online racebook fans to make any money as there are only four fillies entered. That means that unless the longest shot on the board beats the likely 1 to 5 favorite Proud Spell, the Mother Goose is a pass race for online sportsbook fans. The Suburban is not, though, and if any online betting fan wants to see who I chose to win the Suburban check out my Weekend Stakes article.

In any case there is a race going off well before both the Mother Goose and the Suburban that might provide us with a nice online wagering overlay. That would be Race 3, a minor stakes, at Belmont Park.

Belmont Park Race 3

$75,000 Elmont Stakes

For New York Bred Three Year Old Fillies

1 mile on the turf

Blitzen Too - - 3/1 fair online wagering odds

Because her speed ratings are on the slowish side this daughter of Thunder Gulch most likely will not go off the favorite in this race. I’m hoping she doesn’t because I absolutely love her in this one! She’s trained by super turf trainer Christophe Clement and is coming off of a nice allowance score where she made a huge run around the turn to get up by two lengths going 1 1/8th miles. She turns back in distance in this race and there’s no telling how far behind she’ll be but I’m not worried. There is a lot of speed in this thing and Blitzen Too did break her maiden going a mile. She’s worth a large online bet at 3 to 1 odds or higher.

Study Abroad - - 5/2 fair online wagering odds

Because she’s trained by Richard Dutrow, she’s automatically going to get bet. Because she gets John Velasquez on her back, the likelihood of her going off as the chalk in this minor stakes race is pretty big. She has every right to win this race, but I don’t like the fact that she’s trying turf for the first time and may or may not be bred for it. I also don’t like the fact that she will be very close to the pace. In any case, she’s a dynamite gal on her best day so she has to be considered.

I Lost My Choo - - 4/1 fair online wagering odds

She just raced in a Grade II so she obviously will find this group more to her liking. How did she do in that Grade II? She ran very well, actually, finishing third by only two lengths. But this is a different story altogether as there will be other pace up front. I do like the fact that she can save a lot of ground but then there’s another issue that she will have to deal with - - will a hole open up for Edgar Prado to stick her through? If the odds are there, putting money on this filly makes sense, but the odds probably won’t be there.

Good luck!

Check the BetUS Locker Room for the latest info on Horse Racing, Big Brown the Triple Crown, Full Track Odds, Past Triple Crown Winners, and the 2008 Belmont Stakes