posted May 8, 2008 at 13:39 EST in Triple Crown Articles

National horse racing handicapper Michael Dempsey will attempt to pad his bankroll and yours with his daily column. He will feature at least one Pick 3 or Pick 4 play from a major track along with coverage of major stakes races, longshots, and he will keep you up to date on what is happening on the circuits he covers.

Today’s feature is a cheap $15,000 claiming race for non winners of two, but if Executive Chief runs back to her last two efforts over the Churchill Downs surface we could be padding our bankroll handsomely today.

We will also invest $24 in the Late Pick 3 at Belmont Park.

Today's Play of the Day from Churchill Downs:

CD Race 6 Clm $15,000N2L (3:45 et)

#11 Dominic's Desire 3/1

#12 Executive Chief 30/1

#2 Boobooliscious 5/1

#10 Marina Monster 10/1

Analysis: #11 Dominic's Desire was off poorly last out, bobbling and veering out at the start, made a mild move round the far turn and flattened out in the stretch in a fourth place finish. The outing was coming off a five-month layoff and the gelding caught a good group, the winner coming back to beat $10K non-winners of three while the runner up won his next two starts. Was claimed out of his last start by Amoss barn that is 30% winners first off the claim.

#12 Executive Chief comes in here off two lousy efforts on poly but look at her two tries on the main track here. She broke her maiden here going 4 1/2 furlongs and last November earned a career top speed fig in a fourth place finish against $50K starter allowance foes. Barn is 26% winners moving runners from route to sprint. Worth tossing in the mix here at a big price.

Wagering

WIN: #11 to win at 2/1 or better.

EX: 11,12 / 2,10,11,12

TRI: 11,12 / 2,10,11,12 / 1,2,3,10,11,12

Belmont Park Late Pick 3

Starting in Race 7: $1: 2,5,6,7 / 3,4 / 3,5,7 = $24

BEL Race 7 Clm $30,000N2L (4:12 et)

#2 Classic Love, #6 Watch My Lass, #5 Happens in Vegas, #7 Divorce Court

#2 Classic Love set the early fractions and faded to finish fourth last out against $35K starter allowance foes in her first start off the claim by Autrey barn. Returns off a two month break and lands with Levine barn that is 29% winners (with a +ROI) with newcomers to the barn. Owns a solid pace profile with the edge in early and mid pace numbers. Her last pair of speed figs are tops in here and she is back in for a tag here and facing non-winners of two. Looks well spotted for her local debut.

#6 Watch My Lass made a mild late rally along the rail to finish third last out in her first go against winners. She was all out two back to beat $15K NY bred maiden claimers but does appear to be heading in the right direction and gets in light with bug Branch.

BEL Race 8 Gaviola S. (4:45 et)

#4 Love Co, #3 I Lost My Choo

#4 Love Co makes her first start on grass here for Contessa barn that is 7% winners with horses moving from dirt to turf. Last out the filly set the early fractions on the inner in the Busher before weakening to finish fourth. The winner Little Belle came back to win the G1 Ashland and then ran second in the G1 KY Oaks. Runner up Sweet Vendetta came back to win the Andover Way on 3/19. She has a nice turf pedigree, by Not for Love (10% winners first turf) out of a unraced Cozzene mare. We should catch a generous price on this filly.

#3 I Lost My Choo was rank in the early going chasing the early pace and finished gamely for third in the G3 Appalachian, beaten a head and a nose for the top spot. The race snapped a three-race win streak for the filly. She looks real tough in this spot.

BEL Race 9 Md $45,000 (5:17 et)

#3 Citizen Janks, #7 Outonthebeach, #5 Nightime Appeal

#3 Citizen Janks drops in for a tag and tries grass for the first time here in her third career start. She was not much of a threat in two tries on the inner but should appreciate the easier company and should take to the turf. She has three sibs that are winners, two on turf including stakes winner Rock Opera ($249K). Barn is 25% winners (with a +ROI) with horses making their first start on turf.

#7 Outonthebeach makes her first start since last fall for Tagg barn that is 24% winners with horses coming back off a +180 day layoff. The filly has been in the money in all three of her career turf starts, last out a good second behind repeat winner Rosamund, who beat $25K non-winners of two in her next start on 11/17. Has a steady strong of works at Fair Hill, which should have this gal ready to go off the bench.

Live Longshots:

These are price plays to watch today. A small win-place wager is in order or if your pockets are deep enough, use these runners in your trifecta and Pick 3 and Pick 4 wagers. One or two of these could be the difference between a regular day at the track and hitting the IRS window with a signer.

Churchill Downs

R2: #5 Pure Bling

R3: #5 Davids Expectations 8/1

R5: #5 Redi Roller 8/1

R6: #12 Executive Chief 30/1

R6: #10 Marina Monster 10/1

R7: #12 Sustain 10/1

R9: #3 Ready’s Rocket 12/1

R9: #10 Ludington 8/1

Belmont Park

R2: #2 One More Lillian 10/1

R4: #6 barberry 8/1

R4: #3 Ocala Jorge 15/1

R5: #8 Pinky Swear 8/1

R6: #8 Wicked Affair 20/1

R6: #3 Frisky Rosie 8/1

R6: #6 Dancetothetune 15/1

R7: #6 Watch My Lass 15/1

R7: #7 Divorce Court 8/1

R8: #4 Love Co 15/1

R8: #8 Sherine 8/1

R9: #5 Nightime Appeal 12/1

Good luck padding your bankroll today!

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