Up to Other Props

posted October 26, 2008 at 12:00 in Other Props

BetUS Sportsbook online visitors who are following the elections can bet on how long our new president is going to be in office. Just because these guys think of almost everything.

Here now the odds on the election, as they appear at BetUS Sportsbook:

Pointspread - 2008 Presidential Election

OBAMA -159.5 electoral votes -115

McCAIN +159.5 electoral votes -115

Length of next US presidency

Replaced by Vice President Before 2012 Election +700

Replaced by Vice President After 2012 Election +500

President for 8 Years +200

Lose the 2012 Election Even

In the expanded Gallup oll, Obama holds a seven-point lead (51-44). In Reuters/C-Span/Zogby poll, Obama's lead is ten points (51-41). The lead is also ten points in the latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll (52-42). In the CBS News/NY Times poll, Obama is ahead by a whopping THIRTEEN points, 52% to 39%.

Obama is holding on to a lead in battleground states as well. In Colorado, he has a five-point lead according to the Fox News and Inside Advantage polls, and four points in the CNN/Time poll. In Ohio, it's all Obama, at least according to the Big 10 Battleground poll, where he is holding a 12-point lead. In the Quinnipiac poll, he is sailing along with a 14-point advantage (52%-38%).

In Wisconsin, McCain is so far behind that the Repulican National Committee has stopped any advertising altogether.

If there is a glimmer of hope for McCain at this time, it would come from some of the Fox News tabulations, which is perhaps understandable. In Florida, McCain is ahead by a point according to that survey, and leads by a point in the NBC/Mason-Dixon poll.

But hope is fading in places like Nevada, which should be a good state for the Republicans, as Obama leads by five points in the Rasmussen and CNN/Time polls.

The overall picture does not look especially good for McCain, in the electoral college. According to a projection by RealClearPolitics.com, he is at 157 electoral votes (137 solid, with 20 said to be 'leaning'). Obama has 306 points in that projection, with 259 judged to be solid, and 47 leaning. Seventy-five electoral votes are said to be a "toss-up."

So what are we getting around to? The fact that Obama looms as a solid favorite inthis election, and with the country starting tolean in a socialist direction, there is the very real possibility (in fact, one that presents value) of an eight-year presidential tenure.

Personally, I'm sad about it, but that;s the way it goes.

(Charles Jay is the 2008 presidential nominee of both the Boston Tea Party and the Personal Choice Party. He says he will place odds on himself at the appropriate time. He is currently a contributor to the BetUS Locker Room)