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posted January 8, 2009 at 17:36 EST in NHL Free Picks

NHL Picks - Bruins vs Senators

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Betting NHL Online - Thursday Money-Making Power Play   

When there's a big NHL money line favorite on the board that's seemingly a sports betting lock but you don't want to lay the heavily lumber, you can turn to the puck line to lower the money line. Thursday's matchup between visiting Ottawa (13-19-6) and Boston (29-7-4) presents the perfect opportunity to do so if you bet on NHL action, starting at 7:00pm EST. Eastern Conference and Northeast-leading Boston is listed the hefty money line favorites, priced at -300 in the BetUS NHL odds with a puck line (ATS) of -1½ -110.

Bruins are 20-6 in their last 26 games as a favorite.
—Bruins are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.
—Senators are 6-23 in their last 29 games as an underdog.
Senators are 7-22 in their last 29 games as a road underdog of -201 or greater.

The Bruins' puck line is clearly the strongest play in this matchup, considering Boston has earned by far the most money in the league with an ATS mark of 30-9. Based on $100 wagers, the Bruins have reeled in $3,290 for their puck line supporters. Meanwhile, 
Ottawa ranks 26th in the NHL having dropped $870 with an ATS mark of 16-22.

Boston earned most of its cash with an impressive 27-3-1 run from Oct. 25 through Jan. 1, a stretch that finished with 10 straight wins overall and a 14-game winning streak at home. Boston's powerful offense has recently slowed down, as they come off the season's first regulation back-to-back losses. But NHL wagering fans should expect the Bruins to roar back against the Senators, which has lost six of seven entering the finale of its eight-game road trip.

—Bruins are 5-0 in their last 5 Thursday games.
—Bruins are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
—Bruins are 21-5 in their last 26 vs. Eastern Conference.
—Bruins are 13-3 in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.
—Bruins are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
—Bruins are 24-5 in their last 29 overall.

Boston’s defense was still solid in their consecutive defeats, as Manny Fernandez made 23 saves to lower his league's second-best GAA to 1.96. Tim Thomas, whose 2.13 GAA ranks fourth, could return between the pipes to face a struggling Ottawa offense. The Senators have scored an NHL-low 88 goals and posted just 16 in the first seven games of their road trip, going 1-5-1. Overall on the road this season, they are 4-13-3. Ottawa’s defense has also stumbled due-in-part to net keeper Alex Auld going 0-5-2 with a 4.38 GAA in his last seven starts.

—Senators are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Northeast.
—Senators are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
—Senators are 17-37 in their last 54 vs. Eastern Conference.
—Senators are 8-20 in their last 28 games playing on 1 days rest.
—Senators are 6-21 in their last 27 road games.
—Senators are 16-36 in their last 52 overall.

Free NHL Picks: Boston -1½ -110 (puck line)

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