NFL Football Props – Team Win Totals Two

Time is running out for BetUS Sportsbook customers to take advantage of advance props on the NFL betting season. One of those involves over/unders for total wins for each of the teams.

Today I'll take a look at what are five of the best bets in this field, in my not so humble opinion (IMNSHO):

NFL Football Proposition Odds

MIAMI DOLPHINS
Over 5.5 wins Even
Under 5.5 wins -140

-- The Dolphins do not have enough quality personnel to make a vast improvement on last year's one-win season. If you recall, they had a veteran quarterback with a little more energy in his arm in Trent Green to start last season. Chad Pennington does not have a recent history of staying healthy. If he goes down, it's pretty much up to rookie Chad Henne. The encouraging part is that the running game, if all goes well, will allow for Pennington and/or Henne to use some play action. But there are also a lot of defensive deficiencies, and discarding Zach Thomas and Jason Taylor is a clear indication that this organization is thinking a lot more about tomorrow than today.

JAY'S PLAY: UNDER 5.5 wins (-140)

NEW YORK GIANTS
Over 9 wins Even
Under 9 wins -140

-- Under nine wins would constitute a team going 8-8. That is not going to happen. The Giants may have pulled off an upset of New England in the Super Bowl, but it wasn't THAT much of an upset. This team has talent, and even without the services of Osi Umenyiora, which will admittedly cause something of a decline in the pass rush, they will have success rushing the passer, not to mention rushing the ball. This is a playoff-level team, and the degree of success they have in the regular season will largely depend on whether they can "hold serve" at home, where they went 3-5 last year.

JAY'S PLAY: OVER 9 wins (Even)

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Over 6 wins -115
Under 6 wins -125

-- I think the price is attractive on this one. True, Glenn Dorsey could have a major impact on the defensive line. And some of the infusion of young talent in the secondary, including Virginia Tech's Brandon Flowers, will bring a return. Eventually. The Chiefs can still run the ball with Larry Johnson, possess one of the best tight ends in the business with Tony Gonzalez, and could see last year's rookie sensation, Dwayne Bowe, take another step forward. But I just see too many problems with Brodie Croyle at quarterback. If he develops in a hurry, "over" bettors could be rewarded. But you're not really giving up too much more with the "under" here, and with the left tackle they were counting on, Branden Albert, getting a very late start because of injuries, there may be a crack in those building blocks they're counting on. Since the decision to stick with Brodie Croyle was by and large organizational, Herm Edwards may not necessarily be on the hot seat.

JAY'S PLAY: UNDER 6 wins (-125)

NEW YORK JETS
Over 8.5 wins -125
Under 8.5 wins -105

-- There may be some value in these numbers, at least from my perspective, because of the Jets' acquisition of Brett Favre. There could be a little TOO much optimism in Gotham these days, although you can excuse Jets fans after their terrible 2007 campaign. Yes it is true that Erik Mangini's team is just a year removed from taking a trip to the playoffs, but by the same token, Favre is only a year removed from 56% and an 18-18 ratio of touchdowns to interceptions. Remember that defense is still an issue, as this team allowed more rushing yards than all but three teams last season., And Thomas Jones may not be the kind of go-to back that a playoff contender needs.