posted November 22, 2009 at 05:00 EST in NFL Free Picks
NFL XBOX Simulation Picks - Indianapolis vs. Baltimore
by Mike Rose

Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens 1:00 ET
Week 11 of the NFL online betting season picks back up when the Indianapolis Colts (9-0, 5-3-1 ATS) storm M&T Bank Stadium to crack skulls with the Baltimore Ravens (5-4, 6-3 ATS) in a crucial AFC betting battle; kick-off is slated for 1:00 ET and can be seen nationally on CBS.
Indy’s dominated the Ravens both SU & ATS having won in both categories in each of their L/5 meetings. The Colts pounded the Ravens by a 31-3 final count as 4-point home chalks in Week 6 of last season.
The Colts have taken care of their betting backers each of the L/4 times they faced an AFC North opponent (4-0 ATS), but are just 2-6-1 ATS the L/8 times it faced a +.500 opponent. The ravens have failed to cover the spread after playing on MNF each of the L/4 times, but they’re a $$$-making 6-1 ATS the L/7 times it was installed an underdog in the 0.5 to 3-point range.
Weather: partly sunny in morning then becoming mostly cloudy. highs in the lower 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | FINAL | |
| INDIANAPOLIS | 7 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 20 |
| BALTIMORE | 0 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 27 |
This was an excellently played game for both teams, but the Ravens managed to put points up late while keeping the Colts electric offense off the scoreboard in the 4 th quarter. QBs Peyton Manning and Joe Flacco shined. Manning completed 31 of 44 passes for 369 yards and 2 TDs without an INT, while Flacco countered by completing 77% of his passes for 209 yards and 3 TDs with no INT’s.
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The Colts took a 13-10 lead with them into the break, and extended it to a 20-10 lead before the Ravens stepped it up on both sides of the ball to pick up the comeback win and hand the Colts their first defeat of the season. BAL was able to pull the feat off late as it took advantage of the Colts secondary in the 4 th quarter.
Having already been ripped apart by the Patriots last week, this came as no surprise as the mass injuries once again took their toll. But this time, the colts weren’t able to overcome it. Flacco hit TE Todd Heap to tie it up, and then he followed it up with a 47-yard strike to WR Desmond mason to put on the finishing touches off the spectacular comeback.
Both teams combined for just over 1000 yards, and there wasn’t a single turnover in the game. BAL held a slim time of possession advantage.
The Colts offense converted 68% of their 3 rd down opportunities, while the Ravens held up their end of the bargain moving the chains 64% of the time on 3 rd down. Due to the offenses surprising ability to keep drives alive, the teams combined for 38 overall first downs.
Overall, this one lived up to the hype. BAL got a huge win to keep them in line for a Wild Card slot, and over bettors were sent home happy. If Manning got any help from his ground game, it could have been a different story as he had a monster game in defeat…
INDY |
BAL |
|
TOTAL OFFENSE |
385 |
332 |
RUSHING YARDS |
22 |
136 |
PASSING YARDS |
363 |
196 |
1ST DOWNS |
20 |
18 |
TOTAL YARDS |
527 |
517 |
TURNOVERS |
0 |
0 |
3RD DOWN CONV |
11/16 68% |
9/14 64% |
PENALTIES |
3 - 25 |
3 -20 |
TIME OF POSSESSION |
28:14 |
31:46 |
Take Baltimore (+2) and Over 45 –110 in the BetUS Sportsbook.



