posted November 22, 2009 at 07:30 EST in NFL Free Picks
NFL Week 11 Betting Lock Alert – Pittsburgh at Kansas City
NFL Week 11 Betting - Steelers (-10) vs. Chiefs (-10)
(O/U) 40
Sunday, November 22 1:00 PM ET
Cha-Ching!
That’s right, BetUS NFL pro football betting members, this Week 11 contest (mismatch) between the powerful Pittsburgh Steelers (6-3 SU, 3-6 ATS, 4-5 O/U) and the lowly Kansas City Chiefs (2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS, 4-3-2 O/U) represents arguably the best wager on the board for Week 11.
This pick is such an absolute lock that I won’t waste much time getting into the do’s and don’ts for each team. Let’s just take a quick look back at what happened to each team its last time out, before I move forward with my analysis and NFL Expert Picks.
Steelers at a glance
- Steelers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
- Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
The Steelers are going to be in an absolutely foul mood coming into this matchup after having their five-game winning streak snapped in their 18-12 Week 10 loss to their AFC North division rivals, the Cincinnati Bengals.
Pittsburgh was swept in its regular season series by the Bengals last week, failing to cover the NFL point spread as 6.5-point home favorites just as I predicted in the BetUS NFL locker room and having its modest two-game ATS winning streak come to an abrupt halt as well.
Chiefs at a glance
- Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Chiefs are 4-9 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Chiefs beat the lowly Oakland Raiders 16-10 on Sunday to cash in for pro football betting enthusiasts as 1-point road underdogs. Kansas City won for the second time in four games, while covering the spread in its second consecutive game and moving to a blistering 4-1 ATS over its last five.
Head-to-Head Trends
- Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Analysis: I really don’t care one iota that Pittsburgh has gone an absolutely miserable 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite.
I also encourage NFL gamblers to throw out the fact that the Chiefs have gone a fantastic 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
Concentrate on the fact that the Chiefs have gone an uninspiring 4-9 ATS against a team with a winning record and that the Steelers are the far superior team in this contest and are coming off a dismal loss their last time out.
The Steelers are going to absolutely crush the Chiefs in this contest BetUS pro football betting members and I say ride them all the way to the bank in this lock pick.
