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posted November 8, 2009 at 17:00 EST in NFL Free Picks

NFL Odds - Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles

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Dallas Cowboys (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-2 SU & ATS)

Sunday, November 8 - 8:20 PM ET

NFL odds: PHILADELPHIA -3, Total 48.5

In the BetUS NFL betting odds, the Eagles are listed as a three-point favorite, with a posted total of 48.5 points.

Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

  • DALL has won four of its last five games SU

  • DALL has played seven of its last nine games OVER the total
  • DALL has covered one of its last five road games
  • DALL has won 15 of its last 23 road games SU
  • DALL has lost six of its last nine road games SU
  • DALL has played six of its last nine road games OVER the total
  • PHIL has won and covered four of its last five games
  • PHIL has played seven of its last eight games OVER the total
  • PHIL has won and covered six of its last seven home games
  • PHIL has played its last five home games OVER the total


Also...

  • PHIL has covered five of the last six meetings
  • PHIL has won 13 of the last 18 meetings SU
  • Five of the last seven meetings have gone OVER the total
  • PHIL has won eight of the last ten meetings SU as the home team
  • Seven of the last eight meetings in Philadelphia have gone OVER the total


It would be tough to do much better than Miles Austin has done in the last three games, catching 21 passes for 482 yards. I guess it can be said (and answering some questions that I myself had at the start of the year) about who the go-to receivers were going to be for the Cowboys this year.

Could any team have done much better with what they had than the Eagles did against the Giants last week, and they won in the NFL odds? When you only have a 391-356 yardage edge, yet score 40 points and win by 23 points, and do that without Bryan Westbrook, you have truly gotten a great effort. Of course, when you force three turnovers, get 82 yards from backup running back LeSean McCoy and a contribution of 75 yards and a touchdown from a fullback (Leonard Weaver), you're in good shape.

Now the Eagles, home favorites in the NFL odds, have to get emotionally ready once again for a Dallas club that has blown through a couple of opponents in a row (Atlanta and Seattle) since the bye week. Right now Dallas is probably playing as well as they have in a while, and part of it is the way they have been getting the balance out of the running game.

They haven't been steamrolling other teams, but they have been difficult to shut down. Unlike last week's Giant team, which has a couple of guys (Brandon Jacobs, Ahmad Bradshaw) playing with injuries, Dallas has Marion Barber, Tashard Choice and Felix Jones (7.8 ypc) available, and Tony Romo, while not as mistake-free as Donovan McNabb (who has one interception in 133 passes), has nonetheless been picked off just four times in 230 throws.

Philadelphia has struggled a bit with pass protection (even though they are getting healthier in the offensive line). Jason Peters has under-achieved, and this is not the time for it, as the Cowboys have scored 11 sacks in the last three games, with DeMarcus Ware shining despite playing through a foot injury. This is a very big revenge game for the Cowboys too. Last year's visit to Lincoln Financial Field produced a 44-6 loss that was probably Wade Phillips' lowest point of his whole tenure in Dallas. The team appears to have been working toward this moment as they've come out of the bye week.

We're taking the points with Dallas, the three-point underdog in the BetUS NFL odds.

JAY'S PLAY: DALLAS +3 ***

(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)

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