NFL Free Pick Analysis - Veteran Chicago Bears Visit Young Atlanta Falcons

The veteran-laden Chicago Bears (3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U), have won two straight games in the BetUS Sportsbook while simultaneously covering the spread in both and are beginning to look like a viable contender in the NFC this season.

The young Atlanta Falcons (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U), have alternated wins and losses all season, but are clearly headed in the right direction under first-year head coach Mike Smith, rookie quarterback Matt Ryan and new running back Michael Turner.

Now, the two teams will hook up in an important Week 6 matchup that could determine the postseason fates of each club.

The Bears overwhelmed the downtrodden Detroit Lions 34-7 on Sunday and have generally looked competent on offense under new starter Kyle Orton, a serious upgrade over former starter Rex Grossman.

The Falcons beat the Green Bay Packers on the road, winning 27-24 with Ryan out-performing counterpart, Aaron Rodgers with another solid performance to get his firs career road victory.

Chicago is averaging 332.2 total yards per game, (12th), including a solid 126.2 yards per game on the ground and 25.6 points per game, both, good for ninth overall.

Defensively, the Bears are limiting opponents to just 297.6 total yards per game, (eighth), while stuffing the run on a regular basis by holding opposing running backs to just 74.2 rushing yards per game, good for fourth overall. Chicago is also allowing just 17.4 points per contest, (fourth).

Atlanta is averaging an excellent 344.8 total yards per game, (eighth), under their rookie QB while ranking second in the league in rushing yards per game, (180.6) thanks in large part to Turner. Atlanta’s 23.4 points per game ranks 12th overall.

Defensively, the Falcons have some improving to do as they are ranked in the bottom third in total yards, (23rd) passing yards, (22nd) and rushing yards, (20th) allowed. The good news for Falcons fans and backers is the fact that the team is allowing just 21.4 points per fame, good for 14th overall.

Here is a look at the key trends for each team, followed by my analysis and NFL Beting Free Picks:

Bears

Chicago is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games

Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Chicago is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road

Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

Chicago is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

Falcons

Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Atlanta is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games

The total has gone OVER in 10 of Atlanta's last 12 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

Atlanta is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago