posted November 22, 2009 at 11:30 EST in NFL Free Picks
NFL Betting Tips - Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
by Tim Furious
Jacksonville Will Continue to Roll Against Reeling Bills
The only good news that came out of the Tennessee stomp session in Buffalo last week was that Tennessee’s owner flashed the bird at the Bills fans (twice). Sure he was fined a quarter-million dollars, but we’ve all wanted to give the armpit of America the middle finger for years so kudos to you, Bud Adams! The tilt between the Jags and Bills has “big MoJo day” written all over it.
MoJo, to me, is an undeniable candidate for MVP. He ranks fifth in the league with 860-yards and has 12 touchdowns already. Why is that so impressive? Because it’s the same total that his quarterback, David Garrard, has. The passing game in Jacksonville is woeful, and while Garrard isn’t the only problem, they’ve relied heavily on MoJo to put wins up for them. An unselfish kneel-down on the one-yard line clinched the victory for the Jags and showed that MoJo has the character to carry this team without a doubt. The Jags rank 7th in home rushing and just 29th in home passing.
>> Bet Now on Jacksonville -8.5 vs Buffalo
Buffalo, like all other teams, will fail to solve the riddle of Jones-Drew and the Jags’ stiff rushing attack. Though the Jags are one-dimensional, I think Buffalo has proven that they’re not the most reliable football betting team in the world. With a rush defense that ranks 32nd in the league on the road (185.0 yards allowed on the ground per game), I think it’s safe to say that MoJo is in for a huge day.
Buffalo Bills (3-6) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4)
Sunday, November 22nd
Municipal Stadium, Jacksonville --- 1:00pm EST
NFL Betting Line: Jacksonville -8.5 (42.5)
The one thing that makes me nervous, however, is that I’m flat out shocked that the Jaguars have fine wins this season. Doesn’t this seem like a team that should have three wins? The scary thing is that they could be 6-3 SU if not for a narrow two-point loss to the Colts that kicked off the NFL betting season. Also making me terribly nervous is Jacksonville inability to cover the spread, with a 1-4 ATS record in hand over the last five games and a 2-10 ATS record in 12 games at home. A 2-5 ATS record against the Bills alone doesn’t help matters either.
Despite Buffalo’s inconsistencies on offense, I think they have what it takes to keep up on the scoreboard. Ryan Fitzpatrick will start once again, and while Terrell Owens isn’t the same play maker overall, Fitzpatrick has shown a penchant for giving Lee Evans more deep threat chances than Edwards ever has. I like the Bills to play spoiler here and lose by a score, but not two. Call me crazy here for siding with Buffalo on the betting line, but the Jaguars just don’t have “it” to win by that much.
