Struggling Miami Dolphins Host Budding Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, 4-2 O/U), are apparently – very, very, for real this season BetUS NFL Locker Room readers!

Coming off a convincing 23-14 win over the San Diego Chargers on Sunday in which they covered as 1-point home favorites in the BetUS Sportsbook, the Bills will travel to Florida to take on longtime division rivals, the Miami Dolphins (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U).

Buffalo bounced back from their only loss of the season by controlling the Chargers – and the clock – keeping the ball for just over 35 minutes while getting solid performances across the board.

Young quarterback Trent Edwards went an efficient 25-for-30 for 261 yards and one touchdown while running back Marshawn Lynch added 70 yards on 19 carries with one touchdown.

The Bills held Chargers running back LaDainian Tomlinson to just 41 yards on 14 carries, keeping him out of the end zone in the process.

The Dolphins dropped their second consecutive game in losing to the Baltimore Ravens at home 27-13 while failing to cover as 3-point home favorites.

While veteran quarterback Chad Pennington had a decent game, completing 24 of 35 passes for 295 yards and one touchdown, Baltimore’s sound defensive unit held Dolphins’ running backs Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams to 27 and 16 yards respectively while sacking Pennington three times and forcing him into one interception.

Here is a look at the key trends for each team, followed by my in-depth analysis and NFL Free Picks.

Bills

Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games

Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road

Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami

Buffalo is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami

Dolphins

Miami is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

Miami is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Miami is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games at home

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games at home

Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo

NFL Odds

Buffalo Bills -1½ -110

Miami Dolphins +1½ -110

Over 42½ -110

Under 42½ -110

Analysis: While Miami is playing at home and is clearly moving in the right direction under Tony Sparano and Bill Parcells, I like the Bills to win this game and cover the small spread easily.

NFL Free Picks: Bills -1½ Points/Under 42½ Total Points