NCAAF Free Picks Analysis - Oregon Ducks to Hand Arizona State Sun Devils Loss

The Oregon Ducks (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS, 3-4 O/U), have been an inconsistent bunch in the BetUS Sportsbook, alternating wins and losses in each of their last four games but are coming off a solid 31-24 home win over UCLA on Saturday.Hand Arizona State Sun Devils Loss

The Arizona State Sun Devils (2-4 SU, 1-4 ATS, 1-4 O/U), are mired in a horrific four-game losing streak after getting their 2008-09 season off to a solid 2-0 start.

The Sun Devils were shut out by the USC Trojans on the road on Saturday, losing 28-0 but narrowly covering the spread as 29-point road underdogs.

The Sun Devils will be in total desperation mode as they host the Ducks on Saturday at Sun Devil Stadium.

Oregon quarterback Jeremiah Masoli completed just 5 of 19 passes for a paltry 42 yards and one touchdown, but the Ducks didn’t need to do much through the air as they ran for a whopping 323 yards on 46 carries.

Masoli ran for 170 yards on 24 carries with one touchdown while running back LeGarrette Blount added 11 yards on just seven carries with two touchdowns.

The Sun Devils couldn’t do anything right in their loss to USC despite picking off Trojans quarterback Mark Sanchez three times!

Arizona State’s starting quarterback Rudy Carpenter went just 11-for-20 for 126 yards with a pick before giving way to backup Danny Sullivan who went an equally dismal 4-for-17 for 28 yards with two interceptions. The Sun Devils totaled a miniscule 75 rushing yards on 36 carries.

Here is a look at the key NCAAF trends for each team, followed by my in-depth analysis and NCAAF Free Picks:

Ducks

Oregon is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Oregon is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

Oregon is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Oregon is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games on the road

Oregon is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona State

Oregon is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona State

Sun Devils

Arizona State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Arizona State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games

Arizona State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

Arizona State is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oregon

Arizona State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oregon

NCAAF Odds

Oregon Ducks -4

Arizona State Sun Devils +4

Analysis: While the Ducks certainly aren’t in the class of the nation’s elite teams, I like them to march into Sun Devil Stadium and beat Arizona State while narrowly covering the 4-point spread.

NCAAF Free Picks: Oregon 27 Arizona State 21