NCAA Betting Odds - Missouri Tigers vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Missouri Tigers (7-4 SU, 4-6 ATS) at Kansas Jayhawks (5-6 SU, 2-8 ATS)

Saturday, November 28 - 3:30 PM ET

BetUS NCAA Betting Odds:  MISSOURI -3.5, Total 56

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

• MIZZ has covered two of its last seven games
• MIZZ has won 17 of its last 25 games SU
• MIZZ has won and covered four of its last five road games
• KAN has lost its last six games SU
• KAN is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games
• KAN has played six of its last nine games OVER the total
• KAN has covered one of its last five home games
• KAN has won 19 of its last 24 home games SU
• KAN has played four of its last five home games OVER the total

Also....

• KAN has won and covered four of the last six meetings
• KAN has covered four of the last six meetings as the home team
• KAN has won five of the last seven meetings SU as the home team

In terms of net yardage (taking into account negative yardage for sacks), Kansas has not had 100 yards on the ground in any of the last six games. They have been held to 305 yards or less in four of the last five, during which time Todd Reesing has thrown just three TD's. He's now rated #53 in the nation's passing rankings. The Jayhawks have allowed 35 points a game during this six-game streak, all of which have resulted in defeats in the NCAA football betting odds.

Yet this team can still qualify for a bowl game with a win in the "Border War" against Missouri. How significant is that, based on this team's non-performance lately?

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Well, there's a cloud over the program right now, as Mark Mangino has been accused of being somewhat "cruel and unusual" with his players, and there have been some disturbing things revealed, which are being investigated by the athletic department. You can't tell me that doesn't affect a program in a big way, especially since some people believe this is his last game as the KU coach.

My feeling is that if Kansas was going to exceed expectations, they would have done so at some point in the last eight games, none of which has produced a cover in the NCAA betting odds. You don't want to get into a game of guessing when this team is going to show up with a big effort, which is what it's going to take on their part at this point.

Missouri has picked off just seven passes this season and is somewhat susceptible to quality air attacks, but the Tigers also have an active offense that can put points on the board. Blaine Gabbert has battled through injuries, but he's been a big-play quarterback all year along, and he has precisely the right kind of receiver to accommodate him in Danilo Alexander. Just look at the guy's numbers - in the last three games he has 587 yards receiving; in the last six he's got 964 yards.

Missouri is still smarting from that gut-wrenching 40-37 loss in last season's meeting. I don’t want to be wondering if Kansas has finally gotten itself together, choosing to depart the sinking ship. Let's lay it with Missouri, the 3.5-point favorite in the BetUS NCAA betting odds.

JAY'S PLAY:  MISSOURI -3.5 ***

(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)