NCAA Football Week Four - Florida Gators at Tennessee Volunteers

The Florida Gators (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) will march into Knoxville on Saturday night in an attempt to stay undefeated, as they take on the Tennessee Volunteers (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) in an SEC showdown that is scheduled for a 3:30 PM ET kickoff at Neyland Stadium (natural turf).

Saturday, September 20

BetUS NCAA Betting Odds: FLORIDA -7, Total 51.5

Here are some of the NCAA college football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:

* FLA has covered five of its last seven games

* FLA has won six of its last seven games SU

* FLA has played seven of its last ten games OVER the total

* FLA has covered four of its last five road games

* FLA has won six of its last seven road games SU

* FLA has played four of its last five road games OVER the total

* TENN is 2-3-1 ATS in its last six games

* TENN has won seven of its last nine games SU

* TENN has played seven of its last nine games UNDER the total

* TENN is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine home games

* TENN has won its last nine home games SU

* TENN has played its last six home games UNDER the total

Also....

* FLA has won and covered four of the last six meetings

* Four of the last six meetings have gone UNDER the total

* FLA has won four of the last six meetings SU as the road team

Well, Florida has cruised thus far, beating Hawaii and Miami with room to spare, while Tennessee suffered a season-opening loss to UCLA, who then turned around and got beat 59-0 by BYU last week.

So this is no contest, right?

Wrong,

I recently did an early Heisman Trophy analysis for BetUS Sportsbook, and I uncovered something rather interesting. Last year, Tim Tebow accounted for 55 touchdowns, 32 passing and 23 rushing, which comes out to an average of 4.23 per game. This year, he has no touchdowns rushing and three passing through a pair of games, and although it is admittedly early, that's only 1.5 per game. Also, Percy Harvin, who was supposed to be an outsider in that Heisman hunt, only has one reception, having missed the opener against Hawaii while he's battled a heel injury.

In other words, these guys have had a difficult time getting out of the starting gate.

Of course, that was not a bad Miami defense the Gators were playing against a couple of Saturdays ago, and Tennessee's stop unit is athletic as well. One thing Tebow wants to do is account for the Volunteers' All-American candidate at safety, Eric Berry, who returned an interception 96 yards for a touchdown against him last year.

And speaking of last year, this is an angry Tennessee bunch that wants revenge for the 59-20 shellacking Florida put on them in Gainesville last year, in which Urban Meyer was still punching in touchdowns with a minute left in the game. We can't tell you that Jonathan Crompton has the accuracy of his predecessor, Erik Ainge. And he has thrown three interceptions in the early going. But he got some experience as the understudy, may be able to stretch the field more, and has a top-flight wide receiver to throw the ball to in Lucas Foster. Meanwhile, Tennessee gets an edge in the running attack with Arian Foster, who is off to a pretty good start (28th nationally in rushing yards).