posted November 20, 2007 at 18:45 EST in NCAA F Articles
College Football Betting: Arkansas (+12) vs. LSU (-12)
by D.S. Williamson
LSU will not lose this game. Let me say that right now. LSU will not lose this game. The Fighting Tigers are just too tough mentally to let that number 1 BCS ranking slip out of their grasp.
Sure, the Arkansas Razorbacks have one of the most exciting players in college football carrying the ball in Dennis McFadden, but the LSU Fighting Tigers have one of the toughest coaches in Les Miles and probably the best defensive player in all of football in Glenn Dorsey.
They also have heart which is the reason they won’t lose this game. Now, by saying that LSU won’t lose this game, I’m not saying that LSU will cover in this game.
Take a look at this NCAA football betting trend:
The LSU Fighting Tigers are 2 and 6 against the spread in their last 8 games.
This makes all the sense in the world as LSU has been overrated by odds-makers all year. They started the season by covering their first four games. Then, they lost to Auburn and sort of haven’t been able to cover a spread since.
Why? Because they started to play inter-conference games and, as anyone who knows something about the SEC will tell you, going undefeated in the SEC is flat out impossible.
LSU didn’t do it, but their still ranked number one in the BCS towards the end of the year. That makes them a very good wager to cover this spread versus the Arkansas Razorbacks, right?
Absolutely not. The spread is much too high to even consider LSU covering. LSU’s defense will not shut-down McFadden, few defenses can, and the Razorbacks will find a way to beat the spread.
Again, that’s not to say that LSU will lose this game. They will win, but the point spread is much too high.
The BetUS college football betting line in this game is Arkansas Razorbacks + 12 on the road versus the LSU Tigers.
Take the Razorbacks to beat the spread in this one.
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