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posted January 27, 2009 at 15:20 EST in NCAA B Free Picks

Two of the Best in the Mountain West - BYU at Utah

Bookmark and Share by Ian James

The Mountain West Conference showdown in Salt Lake City, Utah, as the Cougars of BYU visit the Utes of Utah. The BetUS line has the home team favored (-3.5) and the over/under is set at 141.5 points. BYU has won the last 4 meetings head-to-head and has an overall record of 15-4 SU. Utah is 12-7 SU and has a home record of 12-7. Both teams give up an average of over 63 points per game this season, and Brigham Young has scored over 70 points in 9 of its last 10 games overall. Utah has scored over 70 points in 4 of its last 5 home games.

The Cougars have had the Utes number of late holding an impressive 5-1 record SU, and ATS over their last several meetings. But despite their dominance at home, the Cougars have struggled covering the spread in MWC play going just 1-4 ATS. The Utes have faired a little better going 2-3 ATS in conference play and have the home court advantage. Here are some more trends to soak in before making your decision on who you thinks got the upper hand tonight, followed by my pick.

• Over is 8-1 in BYU last 9 overall.

• Over is 41-20-1 in BYU last 62 vs. Mountain West.

• Over is 13-3 in UTAH last 16 home games.

• UTAH is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.

• Over is 12-5-1 in UTAH last 18 games as a favorite.

• Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Utah.

• BYU averages 80.2 points per game on the road.

• Utah averages 80.9 points per game at home.

The trend suggests that there will be a lot of scoring in tonight’s game. Both teams shoot close to 50% from the field all season, including over 35% from the three-point arc. The BetUS over/under of 141.5 points will be crushed in Utah tonight.

NCAA free pick: BetUS OVER 141.5 points

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