posted February 27, 2008 at 19:56 EST in NCAA B Free Picks
NCAA Basketball Betting - Miami-Florida Hurricanes vs. Clemson Tigers
by D.S. Williamson
Nothing special about this game, right? Actually, yes. Both Miami and Clemson are in line for an NCAA Tournament bid. While North Carolina and Duke have received the most press this season, deservedly so I should add, both Miami and Clemson have compiled records of 19 and 8. If the NCAA Selection Committee was thinking of sticking it to the ACC this year, they had better watch this game. Both teams play well enough to cause some waves in the NCAA Tournament. Against the BetUS spread the Miami Hurricanes have gone 5-3-2. On the road they have gone 5-2-2 against the BetUS spread this season. The Clemson Tigers have gone 5 and 5 against the BetUS spread in their last 10 games. At home they are 8 and 3 against the BetUS spread.
Here are more trends:
The Miami Hurricanes are 11 and 2 against the spread in their last 13 games following a win straight-up.
The Miami Hurricanes are 9-2-2 against the spread in their last 13 games on the road.
The Clemson Tigers are 4 and 1 against the spread in their last 5 home games.
The Miami Hurricanes are 5 and 0 against the spread in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
There is no reason for us BetUS college basketball bettors to think too hard about this game. These teams are evenly matched. In an evenly matched game, where neither team appears to have an overall advantage, what do we do as well-seasoned gamblers? We take the points, of course!
Becky wouldn’t have it any other way. The Miami Hurricanes have shown flashes of being a decent team against the likes of both North Carolina and Duke this season. So has Clemson. The difference is that the Hurricanes are receiving points in this game and might have a slight edge as the trends do favor the Hurricanes.
On paper these two look like mirror images of each other. Again, the difference is just in the BetUS point spread. When in doubt, always take the team receiving points.
The BetUS line is Miami Hurricanes + 8.5 against the spread on the road versus the Clemson Tigers.
In an evenly matched game 8.5 points will be huge. I’m taking the Hurricanes because they start the game 8.5 points ahead while the Tigers start this game in the hole.
Miami should beat this spread.
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