posted February 25, 2008 at 18:06 in NCAA B Free Picks
College Basketball Free Picks - Valparaiso at Wisconsin-Milwaukee
by Eric Williams
The University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers kick off the final week of the regular season by hosting Valparaiso Monday night at the U.S. Cellular Arena at 8pm ET.
The Panthers, (13-13 SU, 10-12-1 ATS, 13-10 O/U) are a mediocre 4-6 straight up in their last ten games but have dropped two straight coming into this Horizon League showdown.
The Valparaiso Crusaders, (16-12 SU, 11-11-2 ATS, 14-10 O/U) may be just 3-7 straight up in their last ten games, but the team picked up a much-needed victory in its last contest, knocking off Miami of Ohio 99-94 in double overtime at home on Saturday.
The Crusaders are a dismal 2-7-1 against the spread in their last ten games, but the two covers have come in their last three contests, including their win over Miami of Ohio.
The Panthers, who are trying to secure no worse than the fifth seed in the Horizon League Tournament, are averaging 67.9 points per game on 40.3 percent shooting while allowing 70.8 points per game on 46.0 percent shooting.
The Crusaders are averaging 69.8 points per game on 45.3 percent shooting while allowing 68.4 points per game on 43.6 percent shooting.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends followed by my analysis and NCAA Basketball Betting Free Picks.
The Crusaders are 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten games overall.
The Crusaders are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
The Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a ATS loss.
The Panthers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.
The Over is 7-2 in Crusaders last nine games following a ATS win.
The Under is 6-0 in Panthers last six Monday games.
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Analysis: This game has the look of a classic ‘last possession’ type of contest, but I’m going with Valparaiso to cover the spread by picking up a straight up win despite being on the road.
NCAAB Free Picks: Valparaiso +2½ Points
09:00 PM EST College Basketball Odds
Valparaiso +2½ -110
Wisc Milwaukee -2½ -110
Over 138½ -110
Under 138½ -110
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