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posted February 28, 2008 at 16:36 EST in NCAA B Betting Trends

NCAA Basketball Wagering Action - Boise State at San Jose State

Bookmark and Share by Eric Williams

The Boise St. Broncos, (20-7 SU, 11-10 ATS, 14-6-1 O/U), have won eight of their last ten games, but come into tonight’s matchup off an emphatic 93-70 loss to Siena, at home no less, on Saturday that snapped a three-game winning streak.

The San Jose St. Spartans, (12-14 SU, 10-11 ATS, 12-9 O/U), have managed just four wins in their last ten games and come into tonight’s contest off a convincing 84-75 loss to Pacific on Saturday.

The Broncos are also a respectable 5-4 against the spread in their last nine games while the Spartans have gone the opposite, 4-5, against the spread in their last ten games.

Boise State is averaging a whopping 80.9 points per game on a jaw-dropping 50.4 percent shooting mark from the field while limiting opponents to 75.2 points per game 44.3 percent shooting.

The Spartans are averaging 66.3 points per games on 42.1 percent shooting from the field and have five players averaging double figures in scoring while allowing their opponents to routinely outscore them, allowing an average of 70.9 points per game on 45.3 percent shooting.

Boise State beat Spartans 78-63 at home on Jan. 2 to cover the spread as 13-point favorites.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my analysis and NCAAB Betting Free Picks.

The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.

The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Spartans are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

The Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.

The Over is 5-0 in Broncos last five road games following three or more consecutive home games.

The Over is 4-1 in Spartans last five games following a S.U. loss.

The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in San Jose St..

The Broncos are 8-2 ATS in the last ten meetings.

Analysis: The Boise State Broncos are the better team here by far, no matter where they play this game. After beating San Jose State at home by 13 earlier this season, I think the Broncos should certainly be able to handle the 4.5-point spread they are facing tonight. Take the Boise State Broncos to cover while winning going away.

NCAAB Free Picks: Boise State – 4½ Points

10:00 PM EST NCAAB Betting Odds

Boise State -4½ -110

San Jose State +4½ -110

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