posted February 28, 2008 at 16:24 EST in NCAA B Betting Trends

The New Mexico State Aggies, (16-12 SU, 10-14 ATS, 13-11 O/U), have won five consecutive games coming into this matchup and seven of their last ten overall and annihilated Long Beach State 80-48 at home on Saturday.

The Nevada Wolf Pack, (17-10 SU, 12-14 ATS, 14-12 O/U), comes into tonight’s game with a solid 7-3 record in their last ten games, but was routed 74-49 at Southern Illinois on Saturday.

The Aggies have covered the spread in the BetUS.com Sportsbook in four consecutive games coming into this game while Nevada has dropped three of four against the spread after covering in five of their previous six games.

New Mexico State is averaging 77.3 points per game on 47.8 percent shooting while allowing 71.5 points per game on 42.5 percent shooting from the field.

Nevada is averaging 73.3 points per game on 46.9 percent shooting while allowing 70.4 points per game on 43.4 percent shooting.

Nevada beat New Mexico State on the road on Jan. 24 to cover as five-point underdogs.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my analysis and NCAAB Betting Free Picks.

The Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a S.U. win.

The Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.

The Wolf Pack are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a S.U. loss.

The Wolf Pack are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a ATS loss.

The Over is 4-1 in Aggies last five games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

The Under is 4-0 in Wolf Pack last four home games following three or more consecutive road games.

The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

Analysis: After beating New Mexico State by nine points earlier this season despite being on the road, I think the Nevada Wolfpack will seek the regular season sweep in a big way tonight – but won’t get it with New Mexico State playing their best basketball of the season at the right moment. Take the Aggies to exact some revenge on their Western Athletic Conference counterparts tonight.

NCAAB Free Picks: New Mexico State +3½ Points

10:00 PM EST NCAAB Betting Odds

New Mexico State +3½ -110

Nevada -3½ -110

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