posted March 13, 2008 at 17:11 EST in NBA Betting Trends
NBA Basketball Wagering – Warriors Looking To Out-Run Suns
by Eric Williams
While the Phoenix Suns, (42-22 SU, 29-33-2 ATS, 37-27 O/U), are excited about the performance of newly acquired center Shaquille O’Neal in their last victory a 132-111 win over the lowly Memphis Grizzlies, the red-hot Golden State Warriors, (39-23 SU, 27-35 ATS, 36-24-2 O/U), have plans on showing the Suns exactly why the slow-footed O’Neal will be more of a hindrance that a helper by trying to run the Suns off the court tonight with their up-tempo style of play that has made them the highest scoring team in the league.
While many of the Suns now see optimism where others see mediocrity, two-time MVP Steve Nash cautions against getting too excited, knowing the transition to playing with O’Neal is still a work in progress.
"We have a lot of work to do," Nash said. "I don't think we should get too excited over it, but we are starting to see improvement. We are starting to see progress, and I think everyone's confidence is going to grow if we continue to grow like this."
The Warriors, who trail the Suns by just 1 1/2 games, realize they are in prime position to gain even more ground in the tough western conference.
"I've never been involved in something this tight in my career," Warriors point guard Baron Davis said. "This is just a tremendous time to be playing basketball. Every game is an opportunity to move up and see where we can finish."
The Warriors have won eight of their last ten games in the BetUS.com Sportsbook and three straight coming into this contest including a solid 117-106 win over the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday.
The Suns are 5-5 in their last ten games both, straight up and against the spread, while the Warrior have gone 6-4 against the spread in their last ten and have won three straight against the spread.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my NBA Wagering Free Picks:
The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
The Suns are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite.
The Over is 4-0 in Warriors last four vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Over is 4-0 in Suns last four games as a home favorite.
The Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
The Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Phoenix.
Analysis: I think this contests is an absolutely easy pick as the warriors can out point up on the board in their sleep and force teams to play at their pace, something the Suns can’t do anymore with the addition of O’Neal. Take the Warriors and the points.
NBA Free Picks: Golden State +5 Points/Under 238½ Total Points
10:35 PM EST Basketball Gambling Odds
Golden State Warriors +5 -110
Phoenix Suns -5 -110
Over 238½ -110
Under 238½ -110
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