posted January 31, 2008 at 18:01 in NBA Articles
NBA Betting Action – Top 10 ATS Showdown as Pistons Host Lakers
by Eric Williams
The Los Angeles Lakers, (28-15 SU, 24-17-1 ATS, 21-21 O/U) got back to their winning ways by beating the New York Knicks 120-109 Tuesday night and cover as nine-point favorites after suffering through a three-game losing streak that represented a season-high for Los Angeles in this surprising season of theirs.
The Detroit Pistons, (32-13 SU, 27-17-1 ATS, 20-24-1 O/U) enter tonight’s matchup riding a three-game winning streak, but the Pistons have had their recent troubles as well, losing the three contests prior to their current three-game streak and failing to cover the spread in four of their last six contests.
The Lakers have struggled without young center Andrew Bynum and could be in for trouble against the Pistons as Kobe Bryant has struggled more so against Detroit than any other team in his illustrious career.
Bryant is averaging just 21.4 points per game in 20 regular-season contests against the Pistons and has been held below 20 points in three consecutive games against the Pistons.
Detroit beat the Indiana Pacers 110-104 Tuesday night but failed to cover as 7.-5-point favorites.
The Lakers are just 3-5-1 against the spread in their last nine games while the Pistons are a mediocre 4-6 against the spread in their last ten games.
Here’s a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my NBA Betting Free Picks.
Key Lakers Trends
The Lakers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Lakers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
Key Pistons Trends
The Pistons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
The Pistons are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games playing on one days rest.
The Pistons are 9-2 ATS in their last eleven home games.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-1 in Lakers last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
The Under is 5-1 in Lakers last six after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Under is 8-0 in Pistons last eight after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Under is 6-0-1 in Pistons last seven vs. Western Conference.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last ten meetings.
The Lakers are 3-11-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
The Lakers are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings in Detroit.
Analysis: While the Lakers have struggled both against the spread and straight up without Bynum – and the Pistons are one of the best defensive teams in the league, (90.5 ppg) I like the Lakers to cover the 7.5 –point spread with their excellent offense, (107.3 ppg).
NBA Free Picks: Lakers +7½ Points/Under 197 Total Points
07:35 PM EST NBA Betting Odds
LA Lakers +7½ -110
Detroit Pistons -7½ -110
Over 197 -110
Under 197 -110
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