posted February 28, 2008 at 15:48 EST in NASCAR Free Picks

Jimmie Johnson has won the last three runnings of this race. There is a reason his BetUS odds are + 450 while everybody else is + 500 or higher. What makes things tougher for BetUS NASCAR bettors wanting to go against Jimmie Johnson is the fact that Jimmie has won from starting 9th, 3rd, and 25th.

That driver who is at + 500 on the BetUS site is Johnson’s teammate, Jeff Gordon. That means that Hendrick is coming into this with two very good drivers. As always we want to take a look at a few long-shots. This is NASCAR and everything always seems to depend on not only driving ability but actual luck.

Who’s going to get lucky on Sunday? Well, Becky, that’s why I write these articles, right?

Matt Kenseth – BetUS odds of + 1000 = 10 to 1 on a former winner of this race not named Jimmie Johnson are great odds. Kenseth is a Roush driver and Roush Racing historically does well at Las Vegas. Matt won two in a row in 2003 and 2004. That was before Johnson started going on his Las Vegas tear. I like Kenseth enough to say that he is a solid, solid wager this Sunday.

Greg Bifffle – BetUS odds of + 1800 = Biffle is another Roush racer who at times can come up and really do well. Biffle got the pole two years ago in this race but didn’t do anything with it. Getting the pole shows that Greg can drive well over the Las Vegas strip. Okay, everybody drives well over the Las Vegas strip. Just kidding, wifey. In any case I like Biffle because his odds are terrific and who knows? Someone’s going to break Jimmie’s streak eventually.

Kasey Kahane – BetUS odds of + 2000 = What’s not to like about Kasey? Okay, he hasn’t won a race in a while, but he is still one of the up and coming drivers in NASCAR. He got the pole last year. So he knows Las Vegas. Kasey needs some good luck and he will be right there in this thing. Again, the odds are right at + 2000. I have to think that Kasey deserves a long look on Sunday.

Kyle Busch – BetUS odds of + 1000 = His odds dropped from last weeks’ race because it feels as if Kyle is sitting on a huge one. He should have won at Daytona and was in the race last week as well. I really believe that the rain and the fact that there was water on the track, not to mention how many stoppages occurred, sort of screwed up Kyle’s timing. There isn’t a more impressive driver that I have seen so far this season - - save for the Hendrick guys - - Jimmie Johnson and Jeff Gordon. The odds are good and one of the Toyota drivers is going to win a race very, very soon. Because of the BetUS odds I’m going with Kyle.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. – BetUS odds of + 1200 = This is what I like, Jr. in a good car with good odds. Everybody loves Jr. Everybody loves to bet on Jr. I have no doubt that Jr. will bounce back from that horrible race he had last Sunday. No doubt at all. He’s an aggressive driver who appears to be figuring out his new Hendrick machine. That means that each week he’s going to improve.

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