posted May 23, 2008 at 16:46 EST in NASCAR Betting Trends
It’s back to work after the All-Star break and it is time to start getting online for some NASCAR betting and rot some teeth with the Coca-Cola 600. The Memorial Day weekend always brings a raucous crowd and a fun online betting race so let’s get our engines started early.
Everyone was thrown for a loop when Kasey Kahne won last week, but with the race on the same track, does Kahne know something we don’t? He had to be voted in by the fans to even make the race, even though he now qualifies for the next 10 All-Star events, but he was the first ever to win the race after getting voted in. A second consecutive win would be unconscionable but I think he’ll be buzzing around near the leaders.
Denny Hamlin – like he has been in almost all races this year – is a solid pick in this race.. He has finished ninth in both of the last two seasons at this track but more encouraging has been his performance this year. He has seven top-10 finishes in his 11 races. His average finish at Lowe’s is 14.8 and he has three top-10s in his five races there.
So it hasn’t been an ideal season for Jimmie Johnson. He’s been up and down with only one win. The bottom line is that he dominates this track with five wins in 13 races and four in a row. He didn’t win last year but still has three wins at the Coca-Cola 600. Whenever he gets on this track, it is basically his race to lose.
The 22-year-old has been one of NASCAR’s most improved drivers this year and he currently sits in the top-12 for the first time. Over his last four races, he has three top-fives including a fourth, fifth and third place finish. He’s fifth on the starting grid but that might not matter if he races like he did last year (finished 37th and 40th). But that’s exactly the point: he’s a much better driver this year.
Clint Bowyer will serve as my long shot, even though I find some value here. The odds are so steep because he’s never won here and the closest he came before last year was 19th. But what I like about him is that he led for 79 laps last year and placed second. That shows that he can win at this track.
Like Jimmie Johnson, picking Burton on this track means you have history and experience on your side. The key is that Burton is a patient drive, which is key in this marathon race. He finished sixth in one of the races last year but has won this race twice (1999 & 2001). He has placed top-13 or better in 10 of 12 races and quite clearly, has been competitive on virtually every track.
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