posted April 8, 2008 at 16:11 EST in MLB Free Picks
This two team match-up was once a blood thirsty BetUS Sports Book rivalry favorite. Times have certainly changed in the sports betting world. The St. Louis Cardinals had their five-game winning streak snapped by the Houston Astros on Monday, losing 5-3 despite the fact that Houston, (3-5) closer Jose Valverde blew a 3-0 lead in the top of the ninth inning Monday before Astros shortstop Miguel Tejada ended the game with a two-run homer in the bottom of the inning.
"Every time I stepped up to the plate it was so exciting," said Tejada, who has hit home runs in two consecutive games. "I just wanted to do something for these fans."
The Astros have yet to win consecutive games this season, but have recorded all three of their victories in dramatic fashion, scoring four times in the top of the ninth in Wednesday's 9-6 win at San Diego before scoring twice in the ninth in Friday's 4-3 win over the Chicago Cubs.
Lance Berkman and Carlos Lee opened the seventh inning on Monday with back-to-back blasts to break a scoreless tie.
Cardinals starter Brad Thompson (1-0, 0.00 ERA), gave up no runs on seven hits in 6 2/3 innings of a 3-0 win over Colorado on Thursday
Astros starter Shawn Chacon (0-0, 3.00), allowed two runs, five hits, four walks and struck out four in Houston's 3-2 loss to San Diego on Thursday, but was not a factor in the decision.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my MLB Wagering Free Picks:
Key Cardinals Trends
The Cardinals are 6-1 in their last seven games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
The Cardinals are 5-1 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Cardinals are 5-1 in their last six road games.
Key Astros Trends
The Astros are 4-0 in their last four home games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Astros are 4-1 in their last five home games.
The Astros are 4-1 in their last five home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last four games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
The Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last five games following a loss.
The Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last four after allowing five runs or more in their previous game.
The Under is 5-0 in Astros last five when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game.
The Under is 4-0 in Astros last four after scoring five runs or more in their previous game.
The Under is 6-1 in Astros last seven games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Houston.
The Cardinals are 2-5 in the last seven meetings.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my MLB Free Picks.
Analysis: Cardinals starter Brad Thompson has been ‘lights out’ so far while Chacon has been mediocre at best so far. Take the Cardinals to bounce back with a big win after Monday’s loss.
MLB Free Picks: St. Louis 5 Astros 3
08:05 PM EST MLB Odds
Brad Thompson - R +1½ -210
Shawn Chacon - R -1½ +175
Over 9 -120
Under 9 EV
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