posted June 2, 2008 at 14:07 in MLB Free Picks
MLB Baseball Betting Free Picks – Red-Hot Phillies Host Streaking Reds
by Eric Williams
The Philadelphia Phillies, (33-25, 27-31 RL) are pumping out runs like they’re going out of style lately and moved into first place in the NL East for the first time this sports betting season, after beating the Florida Marlins 7-5 on Sunday, led by second baseman Chase Utley’s major league-leading 20th home run.
The Cincinnati Reds, (28-29, 21-35 RL) are playing their best baseball of the season and come into tonight’s baseball betting matchup having won three consecutive games and five of their last six, including a convincing 6-2 home win over the Atlanta Braves on Sunday that completed their three-game sports betting sweep.
The Phillies, who have also won five of their last six games, will give the ball to young right-hander Kyle Kendrick, (4-2, 4.84 ERA) who is coming off a solid outing in his last start as he limited the Colorado Rockies to two runs on seven hits in 7 1/3 innings in Philadelphia’s 7-4 home win on Friday.
The Reds will counter by going with veteran right-hander Bronson Arroyo, (4-4, 5.29 ERA) who has won two consecutive starts including his last outing when he gave up just one run on three hits and six strikeouts in six innings in helping the Reds beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 9-1 on Saturday.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my analysis and MLB Betting Picks.
The Reds are 4-1 in Arroyo’s last 5 starts.
The Reds are 4-1 in Arroyo’s last 5 starts on grass.
The Phillies are 10-1 in Kendrick’s last 11 starts during game 1 of a series.
The Phillies are 7-1 in Kendrick’s last 8 starts.
The Over is 4-0 in Arroyo’s last 4 starts overall.
The Over is 4-0 in Kendrick’s last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
The Over is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in Philadelphia.
The Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Analysis: While both teams are playing excellent baseball at the moment, it is the Philadelphia Phillies who possess arguably the most dangerous offense in all of baseball. With two hurlers on the mound who are of near equal ability, I say take the Phillies and their big boppers to bash Bronson Arroyo on their way to victory.
MLB Free Pick: Philadelphia 6 Cincinnati 4
07:05 PM EST MLB Odds
Bronson Arroyo - R +1½ -160
Kyle Kendrick - R -1½ +140
Over 10½ EV
Under 10½ -120
National League
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