posted April 8, 2008 at 18:52 EST in MLB Betting Trends
BetUS MLB baseball betting odds: San Francisco -125, San Diego +105, Total 7.5 (-110 each way)
The San Diego Padres (5-3) come into AT&T Park (natural grass) on Tuesday night looking for their second victory in as many days against the ice-cold San Francisco Giants (1-6) in National League action that is scheduled to get underway at 10:15 PM ET.
Southpaw Randy Wolf (0-0, 1.50 ERA) will start for the Padres, while the Giants will send Tim Lincecum (0-0, 2.25 ERA) to the mound.
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At BetUS Sportsbook, San Francisco is listed as a -125 favorite (San Diego is +105), with a total of 7.5 runs (you will lay -110 each way).
Here are some of the MLB Baseball betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
(NOTE: These trends also revert back to the 2007 season)
* SD has played five of its last seven games UNDER the total
* SD has played seven of its last ten road games OVER the total
* SD has lost three of its last four road games
* SF has lost six of its last seven games
* SF has lost six of its last nine home games
* SF has played four of its last six games UNDER the total
In the HEAD-TO-HEAD baseball betting trends:
* SD has won 11 of the last 12 meetings
* SD has won five of the last six meetings as the home team
* The last four meetings have gone OVER the total
Randy Wolf had a 1.76 WHIP ratio in the spring, which was not a good sign after being bothered with injuries for most of the last three years, had an encouraging outing five days ago against Houston, limiting the Astros to four hits and one run in six innings. An he demonstrated some power, striking out five hitters. If he can get through a whole season healthy, that would be a tremendous boon for the San Diego cause.
Tim Lincecum gets his first start of the season for the Giants, but it is hardly his first game action. He was scheduled to start last Wednesday against the Dodgers, but was replaced at the last minute by Merkin Valdez. Instead, he came out of the bullpen and pitched four innings, both before and after a lengthy rain delay, allowing one run and eight base runners. he had two pretty solid outings against San Diego last year, giving up three earned runs in 13-1/3 innings, though he didn't get a decision. He's got potentially overpowering stuff, although he's a little guy. Last year he had a 7-5 record and a 1.28 WHIP ratio, with opponents hitting .223 against him.
Those are impressive numbers, we grant that, but what isn't impressive is the way San Francisco has played against this opponent. The Padres have won 11 of the last 12 meetings, including five of the last six in AT&T Park. And the Giants, playing in what I guess we can call the "post-Barry Bonds era," have averaged just 2.3 runs per game, and have not scored more than four runs in any game yet in the young season.
We like the potential of Lincecum, but not enough to make a recommendation against the Padres, given the recent history. So we will take San Diego and grab +105 as a dog in the BetUS Major League baseball betting odds.
JAY'S PLAY: SAN DIEGO
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(Charles Jay of http://www.eBookies.com touches all the bases as a regular contributor to the BetUS Locker Room)




