posted July 11, 2008 at 15:11 EST in MLB Articles

Having recently acquired 2007 AL Cy Young award winner, C. C. Sabathia has given the Milwaukee Brewers, (50-41, 44-47 RL) a lot of national attention and undoubtedly improved their chances of winning the NL Central in 2008, but it is the Cincinnati Reds, (43-39, 35-56 RL) that are quietly playing their best baseball of the 2008 regular season entering tonight’s matchup having won five of their last seven games for the BetUS MLB online sports wagering community in the BetUS Sportsbook.

The Reds are coming off an emphatic 12-7 spanking of the NL Central-leading Chicago Cubs on Thursday, pounding out 18 hits, including a whopping seven home runs.

"We were just trying to get base hits. Sometimes you get the ball in the air and it can go out," said Ken Griffey Jr., who hit a three-run homer. "The wind was blowing out."

Cincinnati will hand the ball to veteran right-hander Josh Fogg (1-2, 8.39) who is coming off his best start of the season as he limited the lowly Washington Nationals to one run on six hits in six innings on Saturday despite not picking up a decision.

"I wasn't comfortable earlier in the year," Fogg told the team's official Web site. "To go down (to the minor leagues) and get my command back and my feel for pitching back is something I really needed to do."

The Brewers will turn to gifted young hurler Manny Parra who is seeking his seventh consecutive win in this contest. The 25-year-old left-hander hasn't lost since May 3, winning six straight starts n the process.

"You're seeing a young major league pitcher evolve into a pretty good major league pitcher," Brewers manager Ned Yost told the Brewers' official Web site. Parra hasn't started since July 3 but did pitch one scoreless inning of relief on Monday in Milwaukee’s 4-3 loss to Colorado.

Here is a look at tonight’s key online sports wagering trends followed by my analysis and MLB online betting Free Picks.

The Over is 4-0 in Fogg’s last four starts as an underdog.
The Over is 4-1 in Fogg’s last five starts overall.
The Brewers are 4-0 in Parra’s last four starts vs. National League Central.
The Brewers are 4-0 in Parra’s last four home starts.
The Over is 4-1 in Fogg’s last five starts on grass.
The Under is 4-0-1 in Parra’s last five starts during game one of a series.
The Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
The Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Milwaukee.

Analysis: With Cincinnati’s Josh Fogg throwing the ball well again, this game could be very close, but in the end, I like the Milwaukee Brewers to win this matchup behind another impressive performance from the blossoming Manny Parra.

MLB Free Picks: Brewers 5 Reds 3

08:05 PM EST MLB Odds

Cincinnati Reds

Josh Fogg - R +1½ -120

Milwaukee Brewers

Manny Parra - L -1½ EV

Over 9 -120

Under 9 EV

National League

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