posted October 18, 2007 at 19:06 in MLB Articles

After winning the opening game in this ALCS series against the Cleveland Indians, the Boston Red Sox now headed into this critical, closeout game with their season hanging in the balance after suffering three consecutive losses to the Indians.

However, all is not over for the Red Sox, as I predicted prior to Game 4 that this 3-1 deficit is the exact scenario that Boston would face.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free Baseball Betting Pick:

Key Red Sox Trends

The Red Sox are 4-0 in Beckett's last four starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

The Red Sox are 4-0 in Beckett's last four starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.

The Red Sox are 4-0 in Beckett's last four starts when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game.

Key Indians Trends

The Indians are 4-0 in Sabathia's last four starts following a team loss in their previous game.

The Indians are 7-1 in Sabathia's last eight starts.

The Indians are 6-1 in Sabathia's last seven starts on grass.

Key Totals Trends

The Under is 5-1 in Beckett's last six Thursday starts.

The Under is 9-2 in Beckett's last eleven road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

The Under is 7-0 in Sabathia's last seven starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

The Under is 6-1 in Sabathia's last seven starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

The Under is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Cleveland.

The Under is 5-2-1 in Sabathia's last eight starts vs. Red Sox.

The Indians are 1-6 in Sabathia's last seven starts vs. Red Sox.

For a more in-depth report on this game click Baseball Trends.

The Pitchers: Red Sox starting pitcher Josh Beckett is 20-7 in 30 starts covering 200.2 innings. Beckett has 194 strikeouts, 40 walks and an ERA of 3.27.

Indians starting pitcher C.C. Sabathia is 19-7 in 34 starts covering 241.0 innings. Sabathia has 209 strikeouts, 37 walks and a 3.21 ERA.

Analysis: Okay MLB bettors, have no fear here. I said the Red Sox would lose Game 4 and face a 3-1 deficit before pounding the Indians in Game 5 and that’s exactly what’s going to happen, particularly with ace, Josh Beckett on the mound. They may not exactly cruise to victory over C.C. Sabathia, but the Sox will win and save their season, at least for one more game.

MLB Free Picks: Red Sox 5 Indians 3

08:20 PM EST MLB Odds

Boston Red Sox Josh Beckett - R -123

Cleveland Indians C.C. Sabathia - L +113

Go to the BetUS sportsbook today and take a swing at Major League Baseball online betting. We have the most current baseball odds and lines, as well as player, game and series props throughout the MLB baseball season. To help you bet on sports, check out the Free Picks section of the Locker Room for sports betting free picks and predictions. Join BetUS to experience the best in online sports betting action!