posted October 28, 2009 at 13:00 EST in Horse Racing Free Picks
Horse Racing Handicapping - Expert Picks from Aqueduct and Keenland
Padding Your Bankroll: Wednesday October 28
It is opening week at Aqueduct and closing week at Keeneland, and both tracks will offer us plenty of opportunities to pad our bankroll.
The rains fell throughout the night on Tuesday, and it seems unlikely we will be on the turf at the Big A, and the main track will probably be sloppy or muddy.
However, while the three turf races will probably be moved to the main track, it still appears to be a good betting card, with plenty of large fields.
The nine race card at Keeneland looks equally promising. Our Late Pick 3 play is a $24 investment, and it looks like we might be able to beat all three of the likely favorites, which could lead to a nice payoff.
Today's Play of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 4 Clm $25,000B (1:52 ET)
#7 Web Gem 10/1
#8 New York Holiday 9/2
#11 William T 5/1
#9 Marl 5/2
Analysis: #7 Web Gem gets the nod and I am assuming we are going to be off the turf today. The gelding was a much the best winner last out at Del Park versus $25K non winners of two on the main track. The runner up and third place finisher both came back to beat $25K non winners of two in their next starts at Del Park and Penn. The gelding has landed in the exacta in 3 of 4 trips on wet tracks in his career.
#8 New York Holiday made a good late run to finish third last out against $35K non winners of three on the turf. The gelding has had three good efforts since breaking his maiden for $25K in his ninth try. His win two back came in the slop at the Spa and this guy seems better suited at least pedigree wise to stick on dirt.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 7/2 or better.
EX: 7,8 / 7,8,9,11
TRI: 7,8 / 7,8,9,11 / 7,8,9,11,12
Today’s Pick 3 Play from Keeneland:
Starting in Race 7: $1: 1,5 / 9,11,12 / 2,3,6,9 = $24
KEE Race 7 Alw $52,000N1X (4:05 ET)
#5 Martita Sangrita, #1 Orchestrator
#5 Martita Sangrita made a good late rally to get up and graduate last out in her first turf try and first go around two turns. She also caught good ground and the ground figures to have some give to it again today with rains coming overnight. The filly is by Johar out of a Nureyev mare, her first foal to race. The Matz barn brings them along slower than most and it would be no surprise to see this filly move forward in her third career start and first against winners.
#1 Orchestrator graduated last out on poly in her forth career start. She missed in a photo two back at the Spa on the turf in a game effort. She set the early fractions in that outing and could not hold off the winner late. The winner of the race was Zilva, who returned to finish fourth in the Alcibades (G1) in her next outing. She is a logical threat here for the McPeek barn and the likely short priced fav.
KEE Race 8 Alw $52,000N1X (4:35 ET)
#12 Diamond Song, #11 Wild Poppy, #9 Pina Colada
#12 Diamond Song tracked the early pace, got into the mix heading for home and weakened to finish fourth, beaten five lengths for the top spot. Two back she was fourth at the Spa behind the winner Moontune Missy, who came back to win the Summertime Thing at Belmont Park in her next outing. She broke her maiden over the poly here in her debut and she comes in here owning the top last out speed fig.
#11 Wild Poppy made a mild late rally to finish third last out over yielding turf at Belmont Park off a two month break. The winner Whisked Away returned to finish third versus Alw-2 optional claimers in her next start. The filly is out of the stakes winner Flanders ($805K0 who has also dropped stakes winner Surfside ($1.8 million). She has the pedigree to handle poly, or any surface really.
KEE Race 9 Clm $10,000 (5:05 ET)
#2 Hyrule, #6 Gandolph Finch, #9 Apache Honor, #3 Doc N Roll
#2 Hyrule drops back in for a tag here after a fourth place finish last out versus Alw-1 company at PI on the Tapeta surface, beaten just a length for the top spot. That effort came at a mile and the cut back to six furlongs here suits. Two back he won versus $15K non winners of three there and was flattered when the runner up Triple Nine Fine came back to beat $15K non winners of three and $30K non winners of four in his next two starts. The colt has won three times on the fake stuff including a win here breaking his maiden back in '08.
#6 Gandolph Finch pressed the early pace from the inside and weakened to finish fifth last out here for a $16K tag. The gelding caught a surface that as playing to outside stalkers and closers that day. He drops in for a $10K tag for his second start off the claim by the Gowan barn. The gelding makes his third start off the bench and has run well on synthetic surfaces in his career (13-3-2-2).
Price Plays From Aqueduct:
These are price plays to watch today. A small win-place wager is in order or if your pockets are deep enough, use these runners in your trifecta and Pick 3 and Pick 4 wagers. One or two of these could be the difference between a regular day at the track and hitting the IRS window with a signer.
R4: #7 Web Gem 10/1
R5: #9 Classic Moon 8/1
R5: #4 Hedge Fund 12/1
R6: #7 Figgy’s Freud 8/1
R6: #13 trusting Heart 12/1
R7: #1 Tulipmania / #1a Ambidextrous 8/1
R8: #7 Check It Twice 10/1
R9: #5 Love and Havoc 8/1
R9: #2 Mustang Island 10/1
R9: #6 Brazen Kat 12/1
Good luck padding your bankroll today!
