Horse Pick of the Day - Keeneland Race 7

Horse Pick of the Day: Keeneland – Race 7

Race-day: 10/17/2009
Race-time: 4:05 pm EST

Keeneland continues their fantastic fall meet with another great Saturday card.

Although there is only one Grade I race on the card, horseplayers will be treated to a Grade III that should present an overlay or two. The BetUS online racebook will be offering the usual great horse racing betting action on the Grade III Perryville Stakes like they do for every race.

Let’s take a look at the Horse Pick of the Day in the Grade III Perryville Stakes

Keeneland – Race 7

Grade III Perryville Stakes

$150,000

For Three Year Olds

7 furlongs on Polytrack

Conchaser - - 12/1 morning line odds

Conchaser’s best race was at 7 furlongs on the Arlington Park Polytrack two races ago. That race, a $50,000 stakes race, was as good as anything his rivals in this race have ever done on the Polytrack. He could surprise because he figures to excel on the surface while some of his rivals have never even run over the plastic. At the horse racing odds, Conchaser is a major overlay.

El Brujo - - 5/2 morning line odds

El Brujo will probably go off at bigger odds than his 5 to 2 morning line. El Brujo is 5-4-1 out of 12 races on an all weather surface, gets the rail, and has a victory at this 7 furlong distance. He could be tough hanging about 5 lengths off the speed and then making a big run in the stretch.

Warrior’s Reward - - 6/5 morning line odds

The morning line chalk has been somewhat exceptional in his short career racing competitively against Summer Bird and Kensei. He’s a front runner and the Keeneland Polytrack does favor speed, but Warrior’s Reward has never run over the plastic and he’s dropping from the 1 1/8th mile Travers’ Stakes to this race. He could prove me wrong, but I feel that he probably doesn’t show his best in the Perryville.

Wagering Strategy

There’s no reason to get fancy. I’m gong to bet on Conchaser to win, place and show. I will also key Conchaser in an exacta over and under Warrior’s Reward and El Brujo.