posted September 7, 2007 at 21:54 in NFL Betting Trends
Week 1 NFL Spreads – Steelers at Browns
The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns will hook up in a hard-fought divisional matchup for their first regular season game of 2007.
Both teams are in the midst of change, but for different reasons. Let’s take a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by me Free Football Betting Picks:
Key Steelers Trends
The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on Grass.
The Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite.
The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
Key Browns Trends
The Browns are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. AFC North.
The Browns are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.
The Browns are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-0 in Steelers last five games in Week one.
The Over is 6-2-1 in Steelers last nine vs. AFC North.
The Under is 4-0 in Browns last four games in Week one.
The Under is 9-2 in Browns last eleven games in September.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Steelers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
The Favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
The Over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8 SU, 8-8 ATS, 9-6-1 O/U)
The Pittsburgh Steelers have a new head coach in Mike Tomlin and some new faces, but will stick to the same defensive system that has made them the perennial contender they were under former head coach Bill Cowher.
New offensive coordinator Bruce Arians brings in a new offensive system that will depend more on quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and less on the power running game - a staple under Cowher and one of the team’s genuine strengths.
If the Steelers can come together quickly while learning a new offensive system, a surprise season could occur.
Cleveland Browns (4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS, 6-9-1 O/U)
The Browns are probably in their last season under head coach Romeo Crennel if they don’t win somewhere in the neighborhood of eight games. Cleveland will start quarterback Charlie Frye while youngster Brady Quinn gets some time to wet his feet. The Browns also added an aging Jamal Lewis to the offense and will try to throw to tight end Kellen Winslow and wide receiver Braylon Edwards. Cleveland still has numerous issues on the defensive of the ball and should be tested against the Steelers rushing attack.
Analysis: Even with a new head coach and several key players missing from their Super Bowl team two years ago, the Steelers should be able to take the Browns here with their stifling defense. Don’t forget, the Steelers also have some wonderful skill position players too. (Hines Ward, Santonio Holmes, Willie Parker). Take the Steelers to cover the spread by winning this game by at least six.
NFL Free Pick: Steelers 28 Browns 17
01:00 PM EST Football Odds
NFL Week 1
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