Posted on 1/15/2008 7:22:55 PM

Horse Betting Action - Padding Your Bankroll

By Michael Dempsey

National horse racing handicapper Michael Dempsey will attempt to pad his bankroll and yours with his daily column. He will feature at least one Pick 3 or Pick 4 play from a major track along with coverage of major stakes races, longshots, and will keep you up to date on what is happening on the circuits he covers. Don't miss Wednesday's report where Michael will keep you up to date with track bias reports for the major circuits.

We have an imposing entry in today’s featured race sent out by trainer Gary Contessa. We will invest $24 in our late Pick 3 play, and we have a couple of decent prices in the sequence and might be able to pick up a decent payoff.

Today's Featured Races of the Day:

AQU Race 8 OClm $50,000N2X (3:49 et)

#2 Hurrah / #2b Irish Majesty 3/1

#3 No Reply 4/1

#7 Run With the Lark 5/1

#8 Blazing Purrsuit 6/1

Analysis: #2 Hurrah was due to regress last out after a pair of hard fought efforts that included a career top Beyer. The gelding did regress last out, but still ran a solid race in a runner up finish at today's condition. He was claimed out of the race by Contessa barn that is 18% winners first off the claim. Gelding owns solid early and mid pace numbers and looks solid in this spot. Entry mate #2b Irish Majesty made a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out, beaten a neck for the top spot. Gets a key jock switch from bug to Ramon. Completes a strong entry but he will need a scratch to get in off the AE list.

#3 No Reply came off a seven month layoff with a game effort beating Alw-1 optional claimers. This guy showed plenty of promise as a three year old, breaking his maiden over the surface here by better than eight lengths and then checking in fourth in the Count Fleet. Looks capable of winning right back.

Wagering

WIN: #2 to win at 5/2 or better.

EX: 2,3 / 2,3,7,8

TRI: 2,3 / 2,3,7,8 / 1,2,3,4,7,8

Aqueduct Late Pick 3

Starting in Race 7: $1: 1,7,11 / 2,3 / 2,3,4,11 = $24

AQU Race 7 Clm $10,000 (3:20 et)

#11 Undeniable Queen, #7 Bourne First, #1 Girl Show

#11 Undeniable Queen checked in third last out against $16K company, no match for a ten length winner and beaten a nose for the runner up spot. It was her first go for Contessa barn off the claim and now the mare goes for Kazamias barn that is 4 for his last 16 (with a +ROI) first off the claim. Barn is 17% winners first off the claim over the past three years and is an underrated outfit. Returns off a two month break with a couple of good works on the morning tab. Beat $25K non winners of three over the surface here last year. Looks well spotted jammed in here for a $10K tag.

#7 Bourne First stumbled coming out of the gate last out, raced in between foes and weakened to finish sixth last out against $25K foes in her first go off the claim by Jacobson. Barn is just 1 for 41 first off the claim and those numbers look better second off the claim, hitting with 5 of 28. Filly owns a solid pace profile throughout and is a good fit here in this spot.

AQU Race 8 OClm $50,000N2X (3:49 et)

#2 Hurrah / #2b Irish Majesty, #3 No Reply

(For analysis see featured race above)

AQU Race 9 Clm $30,000N2L (4:18 et)

#2 Stolen Greeting, #3 Trading Star, #4 Charlie Caliente, #11 Mount Weather

#2 Stolen Greeting was squeezed back at the start last out and made a mild late rally to finish third against $15K non winners of two. The winner of the race was Ty's Ridge, who came back to run a good second against Alw-1 state breds in his next start. Gelding was claimed out of his last start by DiPrima barn that is showing a 3 for 9 mark (with a +ROI) first off the claim. Has done most of his best running on turf but fits here with his best and might get overlooked on the tote.

#3 Trading Star makes his first start since April at Keeneland where the colt ran eighth in a highly graded race that produced five next out winners. Colt flashed signs of promise as a three year old and in good hands with Violette barn that is 25% winners (with a +ROI) with horses coming back off a +180 day layoff.

Live Longshots:

These are price plays to watch today. A small win-place wager is in order or if your pockets are deep enough, use these runners in your trifecta and Pick 3 and Pick 4 wagers. One or two of these could be the difference between a regular day at the track and hitting the IRS window with a signer.

AQU R1 #5 Mighty Gulch 20/1

AQU R3: #3 Tzipi 10/1

AQU R5: #8 Slipstone 20/1

Track Bias Reports for January 6 to January 13:

Aqueduct

1/6/08: edge to speed, 3 path in, 5 gate to wire

1/9/08: slight edge to runners on or near lead, 3 path in, 3 gate to wire

1/10/08: track played fair, 1 gate to wire

1/11/08: track played fair, 3 gate to wire

1/12/08: track played fair, 3 gate to wire

1/13/08: track played fair, 2 gate to wire

Gulfstream Park

1/6/08: track played fair, 0 gate to wire

1/7/08: slight edge to speed, 3-4 paths, 3 gate to wire

1/9/08: slight edge to speed, 3 path in, 3 gate to wire

1/10/08: track played fair, 2 gate to wire

1/11/08: track played fair, 3 gate to wire

1/12/08: track played fair, 3 gate to wire

1/13/08: slight edge to stalkers/closers, 3-5 paths, 0 gate to wire

Fair Grounds

1/6/08: track played fair, 4 gate to wire

1/7/08: track played fair, 2 gate to wire

1/10/08: slight edge to stalkers / closers, 3-4 paths, 1 gate to wire

1/11/08: track played fair, 4 gate to wire

1/12/08: track played fair, 1 gate to wire

1/13/08: track played fair, 2 gate to wire

Turfway Park

1/6/08: slight edge to stalkers/closers, 3-4 paths, 1 gate to wire

1/9/08: slight edge to stalkers/closers, 3-5 paths, 1 gate to wire

1/10/08: track played fair, 2 gate to wire

1/11/08: edge to speed, 3 path in, 7 gate to wire

1/12/08: edge to stalkers/closers, 3-5 paths, 0 gate to wire

1/13/08: track played fair, 4 gate to wire

Santa Anita

1/10/08: slight edge to runners off rail, 3-5 paths, 0 gate to wire

1/11/08: slight edge to stalkers/closers, 3-5 paths, 1 gate to wire

1/12/08: track played fair, 1 gate to wire

1/13/08: track played fair, 2 gate to wire

Good luck padding your bankroll today!

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