Posted on
9/22/2007 8:02:18 PM
NFl Betting Trends - St. Louis Rams (+4) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4)
By Eric Williams
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The St. Louis Rams, (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS, 0-2 O/U) have looked mostly lethargic throughout both of their first two losses to start the season and may already be in deep trouble in the NFC West.
The loss of Pro Bowl left tackle Orlando Pace has helped the Rams field the league’s 28th-ranked rushing offense despite having running back Stephen Jackson on the roster. St. Louis is ranked 18th overall in passing and 10th in defense.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers got a big win in Week 2, beating the New Orleans Saints senseless after falling in their season opener 20-6 to the Seattle Seahawks.
The Buccaneers are ranked 23rd in overall offense and 21st in defense.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my NFL Betting Free Picks:
Key Rams Trends
The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
The Rams are 40-19-2 ATS in their last 61 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Rams are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS loss.
Key Buccaneers Trends
The Buccaneers are 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Buccaneers are 20-7-3 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
The Buccaneers are 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-1 in Rams last six games on Grass.
The Under is 15-3 in Rams last 18 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The Over is 6-1 in Buccaneers last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
The Under is 5-1 in Buccaneers last six games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Rams are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
The Underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
Analysis: While I like the Buccaneers to win this game, I can’t, in good conscience say they will cover the spread here. It should be interesting to see which Bucs’ team shows up for this week’s game. In the end I say take the Rams to cover and possibly win outright.
NFL Free Picks: Rams 21
Buccaneers 20
01:00 PM EST Football Point Spreads
St Louis Rams +4 -110
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4 -110
Over 38 -110
Under 38 -110
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