posted September 4, 2007 at 17:47 in NFL Betting Trends

When the Tennessee Titans don’t score, they don’t beat or cover against the spread (ATS).

The differences regarding the Tennessee Titans from last year to this year? Vince Young is back and you can be sure that every defense in the NFL took a good long hard look at how Young pulled rabbits out of his hat last year. LenDale White is going to start at running back and that’s a nice change. Eric Mould’s now plays wide receiver. Then, of course, there’s Adam “PacMan” Jones, their pseudo-star cornerback, who may never play football again.

What does this mean? For the Tennessee fan it means that you might not want to jump off the Vol’s bandwagon just yet - - even with their loss to Cal this past weekend - - because jumping on the Titan’s bandwagon just isn’t the thing to do this year as a football betting fanatic.

The football betting lines regarding the Tennessee Titans disfavor them beating or covering many spreads, when they happen to be favorites. Their lack of offensive production will certainly hurt them.

Trend: the Titans are 7 – 28 ATS when they fail to score twenty or more points in a game.

This is an extremely powerful trend and speaks as much to the Titan’s lack of offensive production as it does to the defenses the Titans play against. For that reason, they are more than a good bet to not sniff the Jaguars in Week 1 of the regular season. The NFL betting line right now on the game is Titans + 6.5.

Keeping the trend in mind - - what are the chances the Titans score 20 or more points against one of the best defensive teams in the NFL? Not very good. That makes the Jags a decent play.

The Titans then play the Colts at home. Could there be a reverse to the betting trend? Or, could the Titans beat the more than likely 7 points they will be getting against the spread against the Colts? Not likely. The Colts have a tough match-up against the New Orleans Saints in their first game. Win or lose, they will look to take some stuffing out of the Titans and their defense will be geared towards stopping Vince Young.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans (projected line Colts – 7.5) = Wager on the Colts.

That could bring the Titans to minus 2 against the spread.

After their game against the Colts, they travel to New Orleans to play the Saints. This is one game where you will want to pay very close attention to the NFL betting line. The reason is that the Saints may not have a stellar record, the Titans most certainly won’t have a stellar record, and the Saints could be caught at home. The trend may not hold in this game.

Remember this trend when looking at Titan’s games – 7 and 28 ATS when scoring less than 20 points. Here then are some games during the season where the Titans may not score 20 points.

09/09/2007 – Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

10/28/2007 – Titans vs. Oakland Raiders

11/11/2007 – Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

11/19/2007 – Titans vs. Denver Broncos

12/23/2007 – Titans vs. New York Jets

Pay attention to every single NFL betting line in all of these games as the most significant betting trend regarding the Tennessee Titans has to do with them scoring 20 or less points in a game.

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