Posted on 11/4/2007 4:41:51 PM
NFL Betting Free Picks – Ravens (4-3) at Steelers (5-2)

The Baltimore Ravens, (4-3 SU, 1-6 ATS, 2-3-2 O/U) are ranked 15th in overall offense, averaging 326.7 yards and 17.7 points per game. The Ravens are ranked 2nd in overall defense, allowing 268.0 yards and 17.0 points per game. Baltimore is coming into this divisional matchup after a bye last week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers, (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS, 3-4 O/U) are ranked fourth in overall offense, averaging 361.1 yards and 26.3 points per game. The Steelers are ranked number one in overall defense, allowing 256.9 yards and 13.0 points per game. Pittsburgh beat division rival Cincinnati 24-13 last week.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:

Key Ravens Trends

The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last six games in Week Nine.

The Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Ravens are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Key Steelers Trends

The Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.

The Steelers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite.

The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. AFC North.

Key Totals Trends

The Under is 4-0 in Ravens last four vs. a team with a winning record.

The Over is 5-1 in Ravens last six Monday games.

The Over is 5-0 in Steelers last five home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

The Under is 7-1 in Steelers last eight games in Week Nine.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

The Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

The Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Pittsburgh.

Analysis: While I think the Steelers are the better team coming into this matchup, I don’t think they are 10 points better than the Ravens. Take Baltimore to cover in this game.

NFL Free Picks: Steelers 17 Ravens 14

08:30 PM EST NFL Odds

Baltimore Ravens +9½ -110

Pittsburgh Steelers -9½ -110

Over 36 -110

Under 36 -110

> > Check Week 9 Odds Here

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