Posted on
10/15/2007 2:53:11 PM
Football Betting Picks – New York Giants (-4) at Atlanta Falcons (+4)
By Eric Williams
The New York Giants, (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U) have won two consecutive games, including last week’s 35-24 win over the New York Jets and are getting some outstanding play from quarterback Eli Manning and defensive end Osi Umeniyora. New York is ranked 16th in overall offense and 13th in overall defense.
The Atlanta Falcons, (1-4 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U) lost last week to the Tennessee Titans 20-13 to fall to 1-4 on the season and have the same problems that have plagued them since the beginning of the regular season plus the added distraction that first-year head coach has come under fire from several of his players already. The Falcons are ranked 26th in overall offense and 15th in overall defense.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Giants Trends
The Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last six games in October.
The Giants are 32-8 ATS in their last 40 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
Key Falcons Trends
The Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games in October.
The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
The Falcons are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 6-0-1 in Giants last seven games in Week Six.
The Over is 5-0 in Giants last five games as a road favorite.
The Over is 6-1-1 in Falcons last eight games in October.
The Under is 6-1 in Falcons last seven games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Under is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings.
The Road team is 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.
Analysis: I’ll keep this pick short and sweet. Take the Giants to harass poor Joey Harrington into another miserable performance as Umenyiora and Michael Strahan will likely be in the jittery quarterback’s face all afternoon.
NFL Free Picks: Giants 31 Falcons 17
08:30 PM EST NFL Odds
New York Giants -4 -120
Atlanta Falcons +4 EV
Over 43½ -110
Under 43½ -110
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