Posted on
10/20/2007 9:49:57 AM
NFL Wagering – Atlanta Falcons (+8) at New Orleans Saints (-8)
By Eric Williams
The Atlanta Falcons, (1-5 SU, 3-3 ATS, 2-4 O/U) are ranked 27th in overall offense, averaging just 290 yards and 13.1 points per game. The Falcons are also struggling defensively where they are ranked 24th overall, allowing 352.2 yards and 21.8 points per game to their opponents.
The New Orleans Saints, (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS, 2-3 O/U) got their first win of the season last week, beating the Seattle Seahawks 28-17 on the road no less. New Orleans is ranked 22nd in overall offense averaging 319 yards and 15.8 points per game this season. The Saints are also ranked 22nd in overall defense, giving up an average of 346.8 yards and 27.2 points per game to their opponents.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free Football Betting Picks:
Key Falcons Trends
The Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
The Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games in Week Seven.
Key Saints Trends
The Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last six games in Week Seven.
The Saints are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a ATS win.
The Saints are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 4-0 in Falcons last four games in Week Seven.
The Under is 4-0 in Falcons last four road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
The Over is 5-1 in Saints last six vs. NFC.
The Over is 4-1 in Saints last five games in October.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
The Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
The Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in New Orleans.
Analysis: With the Saints coming off their first win of the regular season last week, the team should be more than ready to rout their overmatched division rivals this week. Take the Saints to win and cover the spread here.
NFL Free Picks: Saints 31 Falcons 17
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Atlanta Falcons +8 -110
New Orleans Saints -8 -110
Over 42 -110
Under 42 -110
> > Check Week 7 Odds Here
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