Posted on 11/11/2007 1:19:44 AM
NFL Wagering – Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins

The Buffalo Bills, (4-4 SU, 6-2 ATS, 3-5 O/U) are ranked a pitiful 31st in overall offense, averaging 275.1 yards and 16.2 points per game. Buffalo’s defense hasn’t been much better this season and is ranked 29th overall, allowing 370.9 yards and 19.5 points per game. Buffalo enters this contest coming off a solid 33-21 win over the Cincinnati Bengals last week.

The Miami Dolphins, (0-8 SU, 2-4-2 ATS, 5-3 O/U) are ranked 18th in overall offense, averaging 323.2 yards and 20.8 points per game. Miami’s defense is ranked 23rd overall, allowing 349.2 yards and 30.5 points per game. The Dolphins should be well-rested as they had a bye last week.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:

Key Bills Trends

The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a S.U. win.

The Bills are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

The Bills are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in November.

Key Dolphins Trends

The Dolphins are 5-0 ATS in their last five games in November.

The Dolphins are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

The Dolphins are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Key Totals Trends

The Under is 4-0 in Bills last four games in Week Ten.

The Under is 8-1 in Bills last nine games following a bye week.

The Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last four games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.

The Under is 7-0 in Dolphins last seven games in Week Ten.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

The Bills are 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.

The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Miami.


Analysis: The Miami Dolphins may have their best shot of the season to win at least one game this season an I say they ‘shock the world’ and actually beat the Bills.

While the Bills are the better team, it isn’t by as much as most people think. I say take the Dolphins to cover the spread with a chance at actually winning.

NFL Free Picks: Miami +3 points/Over 41.5 total points

01:00 PM EST NFL Odds

Buffalo Bills -3 -105

Miami Dolphins +3 -115

Over 41 -110

Under 41 -110

> > Check Week 10 Odds Here

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