Posted on
9/14/2007 8:18:57 PM
NFL Free Picks – Buffalo Bills (0-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0)
By Eric Williams
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In addition to young tight end Kevin Everett suffering a life-threatening cervical spinal injury, the Buffalo Bills (1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U), suffered a heartbreaking last second defeat to the Denver Broncos when veteran kicker Jason Elam nailed one while time expired.
The Pittsburgh Steelers, (1-0 ATS. 1-0 O/U), routed the Cleveland Browns 34-7 last week behind a revamped offense and their usual stellar defense.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Bills Trends
The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
The Bills are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
The Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Key Steelers Trends
The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on Grass.
The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
The Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Key Total Trends
The Under is 9-2 in Bills last 11 games in September.
The Over is 7-2 in Bills last 9 games on Grass.
The Over is 5-0-1 in Steelers last 6 games following a ATS win.
The Over is 10-1-1 in Steelers last 12 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Bills are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Analysis: I feel pretty bad for the Bills and more specifically, Everett, but the correct pick here is the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers should be more than fired up in first-year head coach Mike Tomlin’s home debut.
NFL Free Picks: Steelers 27 Bills 14
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Buffalo Bills +9 -110
Pittsburgh Steelers -9 -110
Over 37 -110
Under 37 -110
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