Posted on
10/9/2007 2:03:19 PM
NFL Betting - Week 6 Odds and Lines
By D.S. Williamson
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The sixth week of the NFL is upon us and by now the trends have been firmly set. There are twelve more betting weeks in the NFL season. It’s never too late to get into the action at BetUS!
Here are this weekend’s best match-ups:
Oakland Raiders (+10) vs. San Diego Chargers (-10) - The Chargers served notice to the rest of the NFL by man-handling the Denver Broncos on the road last Sunday. They beat the Broncos by almost 40 points. But, the Raiders get back their top runner Dominick Rhodes from a four-game suspension and are coming off a bye week. The Raiders play both the run and pass well and the Chargers might have trouble getting up for a game in which many Raider fans make the trip down south from the Black Hole. Expect the Raiders to put up a nice fight in this one. The trend in the past couple of years has been that the Raiders cover on the road when the spread is larger than a touchdown. This year Oakland actually brings a tough team to San Diego. The BetUS against the spread line is Raiders + 10. Take them to beat that!
Tennessee Titans (+3) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) – The Bucs came back to earth last weekend by a spanking from the Colts. The Titans had to play tough to take out Atlanta at home, but they did exactly what they were supposed to do. The trend favors the Bucs who are the home team and definitely deserve the 3 point NFL against the spread traditional “respect” line. But, the Bucs don’t have Carnell Williams or Michael Pittman and Jeff Garcia is coming off his worst outing of the year. I’m not sold on the Bucs as a real team yet as their two best games have come against NFC South also-rans, the Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints. The strongest trend in the NFL the past two years has been betting against an NFC team against a tough AFC team. Expect that trend to hold in this game and take the Titans and the 3 points.
Washington Redskins (+3) vs. Green Bay Packers (- 3) – The reverse trend for the Green Bay Packers held water all season until they gave up 27 points to the Chicago Bears and got beat on the square at Lambeau Field last week. Did that game signal a reverse-reverse trend? Maybe. In the past two years, the Packers have been a solid play against, no matter whether they are giving points or getting points. Now, they get to play a Washington Redskins team that showed guts, heart, determination, and the ability to take out one of the top offenses in the NFL when they throttled the Detroit Lions last Sunday. However, the greatest trend in Washington Redskins’ history is that the Lions are 0 – 20, make that 0 – 21, on the road against the Redskins. So, there isn’t a lot to go by from last Sunday’s game. The truth is that when it comes to the quarterbacks Brett Favre is much better than Jason Campbell right now. That means the Packers cover the – 3 BetUS against the spread.
Carolina Panthers (projected +5) vs. Arizona Cardinals (projected - 5) – This line may change dramatically because Jake Delhomme is out for the season. So, in fact, is Matte Leinart for the Cardinals. Kurt Warner, former MVP of the NFL, might actually play better for the Cardinals if he is allowed to start. But, that’s not the only problem for the Panthers. The problem for the Panthers in this game will be if wide receiver Anquan Boldin, for the Arizona Cardinals, makes it back from injury. If he does, expect the Cardinals to light up the scoreboard against a Panther secondary that just isn’t very good. The Saints had numerous opportunities against the Panther secondary last Sunday, but failed to capitalize. Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin are not Devery Henderson and David Patten, and the Cardinals will roll no matter what the BetUS line ends up being. Stay tuned for this one!
New England Patriots (projected – 6) at Dallas Cowboys (projected + 6) – What a game! Two of the best offensive teams in football square off in Texas Stadium as the Cowboys take on the Patriots. There will be a lot of talk about how the Patriots are due to fall off the wagon, but the truth about this game is that the Patriots’ defense is much more superior to the Cowboy’s defense. The Cowboys only real chance of winning this is to slow the game down and then to keep the Patriots from getting touches. That won’t happen as the Patriots bring too many weapons to this dance and finally NFL bettors get a nice line to work with regarding the Patriots. Heck, because it’s the Cowboys, and they’re home, the BetUS against the spread may go all the way down to the Patriots – 3. That would be an excellent wager as the Patriots have been beating tough AFC teams while the Cowboys have been beating up on soft NFC and AFC teams. No way the ‘Boys can stop Randy Moss, Tom Brady, and the rest of the Patriots’ offense.
Trends to Watch For:
Jacksonville is 12 – 1 against the spread when they score 22 to 28 or more points
Indianapolis is 10 – 3 against the spread when both teams score more than 20 points
Pittsburgh is 28 – 8 against the spread vs. good passing teams.
Dallas is 1 – 13 against the spread at home when the total line is greater than 44 points
Seattle is 4 – 12 against the spread after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last three games
The 2007 NFL betting season is here in full force! If you like to bet on the NFL, you are in the best possible place for online betting. The BetUS Sportsbook has NFL odds up on a ton of futures, and you will also find NFL lines up for early games as well. Join BetUS today and we'll help guide you right through to Super Bowl XLII and beyond!
(Charles Jay of TotalActionExtra.com is a member of the NFL too - which means "not for long" if you don't get results. He is now a regular contributor to the BetUS.com Locker Room)
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