posted October 9, 2007 at 19:03 in NFL Articles
NFL Betting – The Furious Seven, Week 5
by Tim Furious
1. New England (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS)
Even with Laurence Maroney nursing an injury, the Patriots were able to happily hand the ball off to Sammy Morris, who rumbled for 102 yards on 21 carries. The Patriots became the fourth team in history to win their first four games with a margin of at least 17 points and Tom Brady threw for 265 yards and three touchdowns against a good secondary (again).
This team can do everything and it’s almost scary. They can pass with almost unnerving ease. They can run the ball with anybody at tailback. Meanwhile, their defense can stop both the run and the pass.
Next game: New England (-4) vs. Dallas Cowboys
2. Indianapolis Colts (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS)
The Colts held the ball for 38:15 during their dismantling of the vaunted Tampa Bay Bucs. Even if Michael Pittman hadn’t been lost in the second quarter, the Colts never gave the Bucs a chance showing just how wide the gap between the AFC and NFC really is. In fact, their punter only came on to the field once, while Vinatieri made good on his two chances.
If they can hold onto the ball for that long against any team in the NFL (including the Patriots), the NFL is in big trouble. The scary thing about this is that they did all this without five key starters, including Marvin Harrison, Joseph Addai and Bob Sanders. They have a bye week to lick their wounds.
Next game: BYE WEEK
3. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Turns out that all that inside information the Cardinals had on the Steelers was the difference maker. Big Ben was efficient again as he posted 206 yards and a score. But the Steelers returned to their ground dominance with Fast Willie gaining 102 yards on the ground and Najeh Davenport hustling in two touchdowns on 58 yards.
But the big news for Steel Town is that they shutout the Seattle Seahawks 21-0 without their top two receivers. The defense was well rested, but mostly because the offense was on the field for 40:45. The Steelers will continue to benefit their NFL betting investors with an offense that simply controls the game and a defense that suffocates their opponents.
Next game: BYE WEEK
4. Dallas Cowboys (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS)
The Buffalo Bills defense absolutely owned Tony Romo right up until the final twenty seconds of the game. And that’s all he needed. Of course it didn’t help that the Bills offense couldn’t score at all, but the Cowboys were able to overcome six turnovers (all by Romo).
The strange part was Terrell Owens dark side began to brew on the sidelines and he dropped several key passes including a twenty yard bullet that would’ve put the Cowboys on the Buffalo 25 with a second on the clock. Owens better put his sulking ways behind him because Moss and the Patriots come to Dallas next week.
Next game: New England (-4) vs. Dallas Cowboys
5. Green Bay Packers (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Can we talk about Brett Favre’s disgusting interception straight to Brian Urlacher? Why does he get away with this stuff? It was the turning point of the game! He could’ve thrown the ball away. Instead he practically gave it to the star player on the opposing team on their own 19-yard line. Terrific. Glad he’s having so much fun out there.
The Packers did not need this. They did not need to give their only divisional threat any momentum, nor give themselves a kick in the face. But it’s hard to overcome five turnovers (unless you’re playing the Bills or the Falcons apparently). Brett needs to get back to mistake-free football because the Redskins defense only allows 268 total yards and ranks third overall on defense.
Next game: Washington vs. Green Bay (-3)
6. Tennessee Titans (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS)
The 20-13 score doesn’t reflect how poorly the Titans played, or how bad the Falcons actually are. Deangelo Hall opened up the scoring with a 56 yard fumble returned for a score in the first quarter, but after that Joey Harrington couldn’t get the Dirty Birds in to the endzone.
The oddsmakers assumptions of the Titans however, were spot on. They had been underdogs, or tight favorites, up until this point and we’re a betting investors best friend heading in to this game. Vince Young threw three costly picks and the running game only managed 92 yards.
Their tilt against the Bucs is a tough call because the Titans are one more game away from being called a streaky team, but the betting faithful of the Titans have every reason to believe that the game against the Falcons was nothing more than a hiccup.
Next game: Tennessee vs. Tampa Bay (-3)
7. San Diego Chargers (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS)
I’m buying and I’m buying hard. The Denver Broncos are a terrible football team, but anytime a team can post 41 points and 484 yards on anybody is a big deal. And they did it with LaDanian Tomlinson being grounded to 67 yards and zero touchdowns.
There is a lot to be said against Norv Turner, but it usually takes a team a while to gel under a new head coach. The Chiefs and Broncos are in the gutter, so the Chargers can conceivably win this division with a 9-7 or 10-6 record. Their only threat is the Raiders – who are 10.5 point underdogs. Who would you bet on to win the AFC West? Exactly.
Next game: Oakland vs. San Diego (-10.5)
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