Posted on 9/20/2007 7:13:58 PM

NFL Betting: Pittsburgh Steelers Against The Spread Betting Trends

By D. S. Williamson

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The Pittsburgh Steelers are a different team than from last year. Evidenced by their domination of both the Buffalo Bills and the Cleveland Browns, the Steelers are much better offensively than they were last year. Willie Parker is running well, Big Ben Rothlisberger is throwing well, and Santonio Holmes has found a home in the Steeler’s offense.

Because of that, the NFL betting angle that I am going to present below is actually much more powerful than the numbers dictate. With a strong offense to go along with their dominating defense, the Pittsburgh Steelers are one of two teams who could challenge the New England Patriots in the AFC.

Here is the strongest NFL betting angle regarding the Pittsburgh Steelers:

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 28-8 against the spread versus passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards per attempt.

What this implies is that teams that try to stretch the field vertically against the Steelers have little success. Even though we are two games into the NFL regular season, this incredibly powerful angle provides numerous opportunities for NFL bettors and it starts this weekend!

09/23/2007 – Pittsburgh Steelers (home) versus San Francisco 49ers – Even though the 49ers average 5.2 yards per pass attempt, and not 7, NFL bettors should adjust that to around 7 because of San Fran’s tendency to throw swing passes to Frank Gore. Those are considered passes to NFL statisticians and not runs. Coach Tomlin’s group will be looking to tackle Gore in the backfield this weekend and get numerous sacks against the 49ers QB, Alex Smith. San Francisco will adjust by trying to go north to their wide receivers. Expect the Steelers to win this one by at least 10 points.

09/30/2007 – Pittsburgh Steelers (on the road) versus Arizona Cardinals – Talking about a vertical passing team! The Cardinal’s love to stretch the field vertically with Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin. They’re averaging 6.17 per attempt, which technically doesn’t qualify, but…c’mon! These are the Cardinals! Wait until the Cardinals play the Baltimore Ravens this Sunday. They have no choice but to go after the Ravens’ cornerbacks as Baltimore will definitely stuff the Cardinal’s run game. After that game, the Cardinal’s game versus the Steelers will qualify under the Pittsburgh Steelers’ betting angle.

10/07/2007 – Pittsburgh Steelers (home) versus Seattle Seahawks – The Seahawks average 8.8 yard per pass attempt. That works well within the angle.

10/21/2007 – Pittsburgh Steelers (on the road) versus Denver Broncos – the Broncos average 7.96 per pass attempt. Not only is that well within the parameters of the against the spread betting angle for the Pittsburgh Steelers, but the Broncos tendency to call counters with their running backs and pull their guards plays to the Steelers’ defensive strengths.

10/28/2007 – Pittsburgh Steelers (at home) versus Cincinnati Bengals – The Bengals average 7.26 yards per pass attempt. That means they qualify under the parameters of the betting angle.

12/02/2007 – Pittsburgh Steelers (on the road) versus Cincinnati Bengals – See above.

12/09/2007 – Pittsburgh Steelers (on the road) versus New England Patriots – The Patriots, after two games, have averaged an incredible 9.76 yard per pass attempt and they’ve done it versus the Chicago Bears and San Diego Chargers. This could be an excellent game to wager on as the Steelers figure to get a lot of points from the Patriots.

12/20/2007 Pittsburgh Steelers (on the road) versus St. Louis Rams – Even though after two games the Rams only average 6.45 yards per pass attempt, I’ve included this game because, like the Cardinals, the Rams will have no choice but to start airing it out. They’ve been trying so far, but they will do it even more so as Steven Jackson gets going and NFL defenses start keying on him.

Based on this angle, NFL bettors have the opportunity to wager on no less than eight Pittsburgh Steeler games. Pay particularly close attention to the game versus the Patriots. The Patriots might be undefeated going into this game and the money-line might be very, very juicy.

Until next week, good luck!

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