posted October 27, 2007 at 10:13 in NFL Betting Trends
NFL Wagering – Detroit Lions (+5.5) at Chicago Bears (-5.5)
The Detroit Lions, (4-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS, 3-3 O/U), are ranked 16th in overall offense, averaging 328.5 yards and 23.3 points per game. Detroit is ranked 30th in overall defense, allowing 385.8 yards and 28.5 points per game. The Lions are coming into this matchup off a solid 23-16 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The Chicago Bears, (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS, 4-3 O/U), are ranked 26th in overall offense, averaging 301.7 yards and 19.6 points per game. Chicago is ranked 25th in overall defense allowing 357.4 yards and 23.6 points per game. The Bears enter this matchup coming off a 19-16 win over the Philadelphia Eagles.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Lions Trends
The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Lions are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
The Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
Key Bears Trends
The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 8.
The Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
The Bears are 20-46-1 ATS in their last 67 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-1 in Lions last 6 games as an underdog.
The Over is 6-2 in Lions last 8 vs. NFC North.
The Over is 6-1-1 in Bears last 8 vs. NFC North.
The Over is 12-2 in Bears last 14 games as a home favorite.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings.
The Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Analysis: I called the Bears game absolutely perfect last week and this pick is another winner NFL bettors. Chicago is starting to look more and more like the team that reached the Super Bowl last season than the one that opened the 2007 season. I say the Bears win this divisional matchup and cover the spread while slowing down Detroit’s high-powered, Mike Martz-created offense.
NFL Free Picks: Bears 28 Lions 20
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Detroit Lions +5½ -110
Chicago Bears -5½ -110
Over 44 -110
Under 44 -110
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