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posted October 8, 2007 at 18:56 in NFL Free Picks

NFL Betting Odds – Dallas Cowboys (-11.5) at Buffalo Bills (+11.5)

by Eric Williams

The Dallas Cowboys, (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS, 3-1 O/U) are firing on all cylinders right now and have posted spectacular wagering numbers across the board in compiling the league’s top-rated offense and eighth-ranked defense. The Cowboys enter this matchup coming off a 35-7 shellacking of the St. Louis Rams.

The Buffalo Bills, (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U) are already in deep trouble even though the season is only four weeks old. Buffalo’s starting quarterback, J.P. Losman will sit this game out with an injury he suffered in last week’s 17-14 win over the New York Jets. Rookie Trent Edwards will lead Buffalo’s 31st-ranked offense after throwing for two scores in last week’s win.

Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my NFL Betting Free Picks:

Key Cowboys Trends

The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0.

The Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six road games.

The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.

Key Bills Trends

The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home underdog.

The Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games on Turf.

The Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.

Key Totals Trends

The Over is 7-1-2 in Cowboys last ten games as a road favorite.

The Over is 5-1-1 in Cowboys last seven games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

The Under is 5-1 in Bills last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

The Under is 4-1 in Bills last five games as an underdog.

Key Head-to-Head Trends

No trends available.

Analysis: Take this “lock” pick all the way to the bank NFL bettors. The Dallas Cowboys should roll all over the Buffalo Bills in this contest while winning by two touchdowns.

NFL Free Picks: Cowboys 31 Bills 14

08:30 PM EST NFL Odds

Dallas Cowboys -11½ -110

Buffalo Bills +11½ -110 

Over 45 -110

Under 45 -110

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