posted October 5, 2007 at 17:52 in NFL Free Picks
NFL Betting Odds – Chicago Bears (+4) at Green Bay Packers (-4)
The Chicago Bears (1-3 SU, 0-4 ATS, 2-2 O/U) apparently have a Super Bowl hangover of epic proportions this year – along with a serious lack of competent play from the quarterback position and almost no rushing attack at all after trading Thomas Jones to the New York Jets.
The Bears are ranked 30th in the league in overall offense and have watched their stellar defensive unit form a year ago drop all the way to 15th in the league.
The Green Bay Packers (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS, 3-1 O/U) have looked phenomenal in their last three games after their Week 1 gift from the Philadelphia Eagles. Green Bay has compiled the league’s 12th-ranked offense and 19th-rated defense and enters this contest coming off a solid 23-16 win over the Minnesota Vikings.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my NFL Betting Free Picks:
Key Bears Trends
The Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
The Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games in October.
The Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Key Packers Trends
The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games on Grass.
The Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a S.U. win.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 4-0 in Bears last four games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
The Over is 4-0 in Bears last four games in October.
The Over is 9-0 in Packers last nine games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
The Over is 4-0 in Packers last four games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Bears are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
The Road team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
Analysis: I like the Packers a bunch and think they will perform solidly in this divisional matchup, but something tells me the Bears are going to have a breakout performance this week in a winning effort.
NFL Free Picks: Bears 20 Packers 17
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