Posted on
3/14/2008 7:12:22 PM
NCAA WAC Semifinal Pick – Boise State vs. Utah State
By Eric Williams
The Boise St. Broncos, (23-8 SU, 13-12 ATS, 16-8-1 O/U), have won seven of their last ten games and three of their last four, including an 80-74 win over Hawaii last night.
The Utah St. Aggies, (24-9 SU, 14-12-1 ATS, 19-8 O/U), are even hotter however, having won six straight games in the BetUS.com Sportsbook coming into this contest, including an emphatic 85-65 win over San Jose State last night.
The Broncos are averaging 80.1 points per game on a spectacular 50.3 percent shooting mark but have allowed opponents to score 75.2 points per game on 44.2 percent shooting.
The Aggies are averaging 74.2 points per game on an out-of-this-world 52.0 percent shooting mark while limiting their opponents to 68.1 points per game on 43.6 percent shooting.
The Aggies have beaten the Broncos twice this season, winning 82-78 at home on Jan. 17 and 88-69 on the road on March 6 in each team’s regular season finale.
The Broncos are just 4-5 against the spread in their last nine games while the Aggies have covered the spread in six consecutive games and seven of their last ten coming into this matchup.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my NCAA Basketball Free Picks:
The Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
The Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog.
The Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
The Over is 8-0 in Broncos last eight Friday games.
The Over is 4-0 in Aggies last four vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
Analysis: The Aggies will complete their trilogy of wins over the Broncos by emphatically spanking them once again tonight. Take the Utah State Aggies to cover the spread in a big way tonight.
NCAAB Free Picks: Utah State -2 Points/Over 150½ Total Points
08:00 PM EST College Basketball Lines
Boise State +2 -110
Utah State -2 -110
Over 150½ -110
Under 150½ -110
Western Athletic Conference - Semifinals @ Pan American Center, Las Cruces, NM
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