Posted on
3/18/2008 4:20:00 PM
NCAA March Madness Tournament Play-In Matchup Pick
By Eric Williams
Despite losing 20 games this season, the Coppin State Eagles, (16-20 SU, 2-1 ATS, 2-1 O/U), come into tonight’s NCAA Championship Tournament play-in game having won nine of their last ten games and four straight as they face the almost equally incendiary Mount Saint Mary’s Mountaineers, (18-14 SU, 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U), winners of eight of their last ten games.
The Eagles are coming off a close 62-60 win over Morgan State on Saturday while Mount St. Mary’s has won five consecutive games coming into this contest including a 68-55 win over the Sacred Heart Pioneers last Wednesday.
Coppin State averages 59.1 points per contest on 39.4 percent shooting while allowing opponents to put up 66.1 points per contest on 44.0 percent shooting.
Mount Saint Mary’s is averaging 69.1 points per contest on 44.6 percent shooting while allowing 66.5 points per game defensively on 41.5 percent shooting.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my analysis and NCAA Basketball Wagering Free Picks:
The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The Over is 6-2 in Eagles last 8 overall.
The Over is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 neutral site games.
The Over is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 non-conference games.
The Under is 4-1 in Mountaineers last 5 overall.
Analysis: This pick is fairly simple despite the fact both teams are riding solid winning streaks coming into this contest. Mount St. Mary’s has won their last five contests emphatically, by an average margin of 14.4 points per victory and should be able to cover the seven-point spread tonight.
NCAAB Free Picks: Mt. St. Mary’s -7 Points/ Over 125 ½ Total Points
07:30 PM EST College Basketball Odds
Coppin State +7 -110
Mount St. Marys -7 -110
Over 125½ -110
Under 125½ -110
NCAA Tournament @ Dayton Arena, Dayton, OH- 64 vs 65
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