Posted on
3/19/2008 8:17:35 PM
NCAA Invitational Basketball Betting Trends Utah State at Illinois State
By Eric Williams
The Utah St. Aggies, (24-10 SU, 14-13-1 ATS, 20-8 O/U), have won six of their last ten games, but were bounced out of their annual Western Athletic Conference Tournament by the Boise State Broncos, losing 88-78 to their conference rivals.
The Illinois St. Redbirds, (24-9 SU, 15-16 ATS, 14-17 O/U), have lost just twice in their last ten games, but were also bounced out of their conference tournament, (Missouri Valley) by the Drake Bulldogs, getting routed by the league champs, 79-49 on March 9.
The Aggies are averaging 74.3 points per game on a spectacular 51.9 percent shooting mark while allowing 68.7 points per game on 43.9 percent shooting.
The Redbirds are averaging 65.8 points per game on 43.9 percent shooting while limiting their opponents to just 60.2 points per game on 40.3 percent shooting
Utah State has covered the spread in seven of their last ten games overall but had their six-game ATS winning streak snapped by Bois State in their last contest.
Illinois State has gone 5-5 against the spread in their last ten but also failed to cover the spread in their last game.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my analysis and NCAA Basketball Gambling Free Picks:
The Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Redbirds are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Redbirds are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
The Redbirds are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
The Under is 4-0 in Aggies last four Wednesday games.
The Under is 4-0 in Aggies last four games following a S.U. loss.
The Under is 4-0 in Redbirds last four non-conference games.
The Under is 5-0 in Redbirds last five home games.
Analysis: I know Illinois State is playing at home in this matchup, but they are certainly not nine points better than their counterparts in this contest. Take the Utah State Aggies and the points.
NCAAB Free Picks: Utah State +8½ Points/Over 129½ Total Points
10:00 PM EST College Basketball Point Spreads
Show:
Utah State +8½ -110
Illinois State -8½ -110
Over 129½ -110
Under 129½ -110
NIT Tournament - First Round - Bottom Team is Home
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