Posted on
12/19/2007 5:03:23 PM
NCAA Basketball Wagering – Bradley at No. 18 Butler
By Eric Williams
The Butler Bulldogs, (9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS, 5-5 O/U) and Bradley Braves, (7-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS, 3-4-1 O/U) hook up tonight in a contest between two of the top three-point shooting teams in the nation.
Butler is ranked second in the Horizon League with 107 three-pointers made, while Bradley's 96 made three-pointers are the second most in the Missouri Valley Conference.
Each team enters tonight’s contest coming off a victory. Bradley beat the Wright State Raiders on the road 72-65 in overtime on Dec. 11 while Butler beat the Florida State Seminoles 79-69 at home.
Bradley is averaging 76.0 points per game while allowing its opponents to average 68.6 points per game. The Butler Bulldogs are averaging 68.6 points per game, while limiting their opponents to a measly 55.7 points per game.
Here is a look at tonight’s Key Trends, followed by my NCAA Basketball Gambling Free Pick.
Key Bradley Trends
The Braves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Horizon League.
The Braves are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
The Braves are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Key Butler Trends
The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.
The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
The Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 Wednesday games.
The Over is 6-0 in Bulldogs last 6 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5.
The Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
None Available
Analysis: While Butler is nationally ranked, and deservedly so because of its stellar defense, I’m not sure they are 10 points better than their counterparts in this contest. Take the Bradley Braves to cover the spread in a losing effort.
NCAAB Free Pick: Bradley + 9.5 Points
07:00 PM EST College Basketball Odds
Bradley +9½ -110
Butler -9½ -110
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